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Alaska at-large

Tue, Nov 3 · Seat held by Nicholas J. Begich III Republican since Jan 2025

3 candidates. Sorted by most raised, FEC through Oct 14.

Only 1 poll in the last 7 weeksNewest poll · Data for Progress, field dates Oct 8 to Oct 16, released Oct 21, 659 likely votersPolls updated Oct 30, 7:30 p.m. ET, from VoteHub

Begich 51Hill 49

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Write-in candidates, not printed on the ballot

Showing major-party nominees, incumbents and candidates with 5%+ in the latest poll or comparable fundraising.

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Alaska at-large

Preview card: Alaska at-large

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Last election
Nicholas J. Begich III (Republican) won by 2.0 points, 2024
On the 2026 ballot
4 candidates

All Alaska districts

Polls over time

10 polls, through Election Day Nov 3
0%20%40%60%Mar 2026MayJulSepNovNov 3Public Policy Polling, Feb 11 to Feb 12: Begich 41The Bullfinch Group, Jul 13 to Jul 16: Begich 46The Bullfinch Group, Jul 13 to Jul 16: Begich 52Alaska Survey Research, Aug 2 to Aug 5: Begich 50.4Alaska Survey Research, Aug 2 to Aug 5: Begich 47.9Alaska Survey Research, Aug 2 to Aug 5: Begich 53.5Alaska Survey Research, Aug 20 to Aug 23: Begich 50.6The Bullfinch Group, Sep 1 to Sep 6: Begich 50.3Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research, Sep 8 to Sep 11: Begich 57Data for Progress, Oct 8 to Oct 16: Begich 51Public Policy Polling, Feb 11 to Feb 12: Hill 37The Bullfinch Group, Jul 13 to Jul 16: Hill 20The Bullfinch Group, Jul 13 to Jul 16: Hill 48Alaska Survey Research, Aug 2 to Aug 5: Hill 34.4Alaska Survey Research, Aug 2 to Aug 5: Hill 33.2Alaska Survey Research, Aug 2 to Aug 5: Hill 46.5Alaska Survey Research, Aug 20 to Aug 23: Hill 39.1The Bullfinch Group, Sep 1 to Sep 6: Hill 46.5Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research, Sep 8 to Sep 11: Hill 43Data for Progress, Oct 8 to Oct 16: Hill 49Alaska Survey Research, Aug 2 to Aug 5: Hafner 15.2Alaska Survey Research, Aug 2 to Aug 5: Hafner 14.7Alaska Survey Research, Aug 20 to Aug 23: Hafner 4.6Begich51Hill49Hafner4.6

All polls. Polls updated Oct 30, 7:30 p.m. ET, from VoteHub.

The polls in this chart (10)

1 poll released in the last 14 days · latest results range from 50.3 to 57% (R), 4.6% (D) and 39.1 to 49% (N) (newest 5 polls on the chart)

10 of the 13 polls for this race, each naming a candidate, plotted on the field end date.

Polls shown in the chart, newest field end date first, with the day each was released
PollsterField datesReleasedSampleBegichHillHafner
Data for ProgressOct 8 to Oct 16Oct 21659 likely voters5149—
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact ResearchSep 8 to Sep 11Sep 17800 likely voters5743—
The Bullfinch GroupSep 1 to Sep 6Oct 2820 likely voters50.346.5—
Alaska Survey ResearchAug 20 to Aug 23Aug 291,872 likely voters50.639.14.6
Alaska Survey ResearchAug 2 to Aug 5Aug 151,371 likely voters53.546.5—
Alaska Survey ResearchAug 2 to Aug 5Aug 151,371 likely voters47.933.214.7
Alaska Survey ResearchAug 2 to Aug 5Aug 151,371 likely voters50.434.415.2
The Bullfinch GroupJul 13 to Jul 16Oct 1546 likely voters5248—
The Bullfinch GroupJul 13 to Jul 16Jul 28546 likely voters4620—
Public Policy PollingFeb 11 to Feb 12Apr 27600 likely voters4137—
Polls left off the chart (3 of 13)
Polls for this race that are not on the chart, with the reason for each
PollWhy it is not on the chart
The New York Times/Siena UniversityJun 15 to Jun 29Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Nick Begich, Matt Schultz)
Public Policy PollingFeb 11 to Feb 12Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Nick Begich III, Matt Schultz)
Data for ProgressOct 17 to Oct 23Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Nick Begich III, Matt Schultz)

More about this race

Candidates on the ballot

Write-in candidates, not printed on the ballot

Source: elections.alaska.gov, dated Sep 25

Shift since 2022: not available. Two same-party candidates took 10 percent or more in one year, so no D versus R margin change. Changed party, D to R.

All Alaska districts

Select a shape for details. Arrow keys move between shapes.
Alaska at-large selected among its state's congressional districts, colored by the 2024 US House resultAlaska at-large: Nicholas J. Begich III (R), Republican by 2.0 points, 2024
2024 US House margin
  • D 15+ pts
  • D 5 to 15 pts
  • D under 5 pts
  • R under 5 pts
  • R 5 to 15 pts
  • R 15+ pts
  • Other winner
  • No data
Show these districts as a list (1)
  • Alaska at-large· Nicholas J. Begich III (R), Republican by 2.0 points, 2024
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Vote in Alaska

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Official results for Alaska

History (25 elections for this seat)

1976 to 2024: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, retrieved Oct 28, 2026. Compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns; not an official source

District numbers are reused after each redistricting, so rows on older lines cover different territory than today's Alaska at-large.

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Cite this page

Election Wrld. (2026). Alaska at-large, US House results. https://www.electionwrld.com/ak/congress/at-large. Retrieved October 30, 2026.

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Sources

Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024 (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns, not an official source; Census TIGERweb Legislative MapServer (120th CDs layer 0, 119th CDs layer 4, 2026 SLD upper layer 1 and lower layer 2) (US Census Bureau, public domain), retrieved Oct 28, 2026; unitedstates/congress-legislators (current) (CC0-1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by the @unitedstates project volunteers (rosters from official congressional sources) from official returns, not an official source.

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DataState data (JSON)Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), FEC, DIME (ODC-BY), Photo creditsData as of Oct 30, 2026 (candidate list Oct 28, 2026)