Florida District 16
Tue, Nov 3 · Sitting member, elected on the old lines Vern Buchanan Republican since Jan 2007 (not a candidate in 2026)
Sydney Gruters 43Kelly Kirschner 39
Only 1 poll in the last 7 weeksNewest poll · Public Policy Polling, field dates Oct 1 to Oct 2, released Oct 6, 530 registered voters, partisan (D), per VoteHubPolls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub
Show all 3 candidates on the ballot
- Kelly KirschnerDemocratic
- Sydney GrutersRepublican
- Mark DavisIndependent
Showing major-party nominees, incumbents and candidates with 5%+ in the latest poll or comparable fundraising.
- Lines for 2026
- Redrawn. 48.0% of residents were in a different district in 2024
- On the 2026 ballot
- 3 candidates, open seat
Polls over time
One published poll names these candidates: Public Policy Polling, Oct 1 to Oct 2, released Oct 6. All 1 on the polls page. Polls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub.
Side by side
Left column: GrutersRight column: Kirschner
- Total receipts, 2025-2026 cycle, through Oct 14
- $1.6M
- $876K
- Cash on hand
- $252K
- $261K
Money: FEC bulk data, through Oct 14. One or more are matched to the FEC by name, party and seat, so a total could belong to someone else.
How these are counted
Total receipts line of each candidate’s principal campaign committee, 2025-2026 cycle. Other sites may show career, six-year or all-committee totals, which differ. Gruters: $1,618,888 received, $252,497 cash on hand. Kirschner: $876,363 received, $261,139 cash on hand.
More about this race
Candidates on the ballot
Open seat
The current holder, Vern Buchanan, is not on the candidate list.
- Kelly KirschnerDemocratic
- Sydney GrutersRepublican
- Mark DavisIndependent
Source: dos.elections.myflorida.com, dated Oct 28
All Florida districts
- D 15+ pts
- D 5 to 15 pts
- D under 5 pts
- R under 5 pts
- R 5 to 15 pts
- R 15+ pts
- Other winner
- No data
Show these districts as a list (28)
- Florida District 1· Matt Gaetz (R), Republican by 32.0 points, 2024
- Florida District 2· Neal P. Dunn (R), Republican by 23.2 points, 2024
- Florida District 3· Kat Cammack (R), Republican by 23.2 points, 2024
- Florida District 4· Aaron Bean (R), Republican by 14.6 points, 2024
- Florida District 5· John H. Rutherford (R), Republican by 26.2 points, 2024
- Florida District 6· Michael Waltz (R), Republican by 33.0 points, 2024
- Florida District 7· Cory Mills (R), Republican by 13.0 points, 2024
- Florida District 8· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Florida District 9· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Florida District 10· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Florida District 11· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Florida District 12· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Florida District 13· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Florida District 14· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Florida District 15· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Florida District 16· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Florida District 17· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Florida District 18· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Florida District 19· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Florida District 20· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Florida District 21· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Florida District 22· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Florida District 23· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Florida District 24· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Florida District 25· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Florida District 26· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Florida District 27· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Florida District 28· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
Map settings
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History (22 elections for this seat)
- Votes for listed candidates
- 416,141
- Election day
- November 5, 2024
- District map
- Older district map (2022 to 2025)
US House, Florida District 16, 2024, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanVern BuchananWon Republican 247,51659.5% DemocraticJan Schneider Democratic 168,62540.5% - Votes for listed candidates
- 305,358
- Election day
- November 8, 2022
- District map
- Older district map (2022 to 2025)
US House, Florida District 16, 2022, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanVern BuchananWon Republican 189,76262.1% DemocraticJan Schneider Democratic 115,57537.8% OtherRalph E. Hartman Other 210.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 484,684
- Election day
- November 3, 2020
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Florida District 16, 2020, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanVern BuchananWon Republican 269,00155.5% DemocraticMargaret Good Democratic 215,68344.5% - Votes for listed candidates
- 361,946
- Election day
- November 6, 2018
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Florida District 16, 2018, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanVern BuchananWon Republican 197,48354.6% DemocraticDavid Shapiro Democratic 164,46345.4% - Votes for listed candidates
- 385,916
- Election day
- November 8, 2016
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Florida District 16, 2016, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanVern BuchananWon Republican 230,65459.8% DemocraticJan Schneider Democratic 155,26240.2% - Votes for listed candidates
- 274,829
- Election day
- November 4, 2014
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Florida District 16, 2014, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanVern BuchananWon Republican 169,12661.5% DemocraticHenry Lawrence Democratic 105,48338.4% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 2200.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 349,076
- Election day
- November 6, 2012
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Florida District 16, 2012, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanVern BuchananWon Republican 187,14753.6% DemocraticKeith Fitzgerald Democratic 161,92946.4% - Votes for listed candidates
- 242,763
- Election day
- November 2, 2010
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Florida District 16, 2010, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanThomas J RooneyWon Republican 162,28566.8% DemocraticJim Horn Democratic 80,32733.1% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 1510.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 349,247
- Election day
- November 4, 2008
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Florida District 16, 2008, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanTom RooneyWon Republican 209,87460.1% DemocraticTim Mahoney Democratic 139,37339.9% - Votes for listed candidates
- 233,773
- Election day
- November 7, 2006
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Florida District 16, 2006, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticTim MahoneyWon Democratic 115,83249.5% RepublicanJoe Negron Republican 111,41547.7% IndependentEmmie Ross Independent 6,5262.8% - Votes for listed candidates
- 316,810
- Election day
- November 2, 2004
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Florida District 16, 2004, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanMark FoleyWon Republican 215,56368.0% DemocraticJeff Fisher Democratic 101,24732.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 223,340
- Election day
- November 5, 2002
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Florida District 16, 2002, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanMark FoleyWon Republican 176,17178.9% OtherJack McLain Other 47,16921.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 292,500
- Election day
- November 7, 2000
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, Florida District 16, 2000, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanMark FoleyWon Republican 176,15360.2% DemocraticJean Elliott Brown Democratic 108,78237.2% OtherJohn McGuire Other 7,5562.6% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 90.0% - Election day
- November 3, 1998
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, Florida District 16, 1998, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanMark FoleyWon Republican —100.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 274,541
- Election day
- November 5, 1996
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, Florida District 16, 1996, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanMark FoleyWon Republican 175,71464.0% DemocraticJim Stuber Democratic 98,82736.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 211,413
- Election day
- November 8, 1994
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, Florida District 16, 1994, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanMark Adam FoleyWon Republican 122,76058.1% DemocraticJohn Comerford Democratic 88,65341.9% - Votes for listed candidates
- 258,559
- Election day
- November 3, 1992
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, Florida District 16, 1992, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanTom LewisWon Republican 157,32260.8% DemocraticJohn P Comerford Democratic 101,23739.2% - Election day
- November 6, 1990
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, Florida District 16, 1990, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticLawrence J SmithWon Democratic —100.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 220,493
- Election day
- November 8, 1988
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, Florida District 16, 1988, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticLarry SmithWon Democratic 153,03269.4% RepublicanJoseph Smith Republican 67,46130.6% - Votes for listed candidates
- 174,028
- Election day
- November 4, 1986
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, Florida District 16, 1986, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticLarry SmithWon Democratic 121,21969.7% RepublicanMary Collins Republican 52,80930.3% - Votes for listed candidates
- 192,313
- Election day
- November 6, 1984
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, Florida District 16, 1984, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticLarry SmithWon Democratic 108,41056.4% RepublicanTom Bush Republican 83,90343.6% - Votes for listed candidates
- 135,346
- Election day
- November 2, 1982
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, Florida District 16, 1982, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticLarry SmithWon Democratic 91,88867.9% RepublicanMaurice Berkowitz Republican 43,45832.1%
1982 to 2024: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, retrieved Oct 28, 2026. Compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns; not an official source
Florida District 16 was redrawn for 2026, so every row here ran on older lines and covers different territory. The map in force, by state
Download and cite
Cite this page
Election Wrld. (2026). Florida District 16, US House results. https://www.electionwrld.com/fl/congress/16. Retrieved October 30, 2026.
Embed this seat
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<p style="font-size:13px">Data: <a href="https://www.electionwrld.com">Election Wrld</a>, CC BY 4.0</p>Sources
Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024 (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns, not an official source; Census TIGERweb Legislative MapServer (120th CDs layer 0, 119th CDs layer 4, 2026 SLD upper layer 1 and lower layer 2) (US Census Bureau, public domain), retrieved Oct 28, 2026; unitedstates/congress-legislators (current) (CC0-1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by the @unitedstates project volunteers (rosters from official congressional sources) from official returns, not an official source.
DataState data (JSON)Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), FECData as of Oct 28, 2026