Minnesota Senate
Tue, Nov 3 · Seat held by Tina Smith Democratic since Jan 2018 (not a candidate in 2026)
Peggy Flanagan 45.0Michele Tafoya 40.6
Average of 3 polls, Sep 29 to Oct 12, from VoteHub · how it’s calculated
Newest poll
1 is a partisan pollAlso in the average: Marisa Simonetti 3, Rebecca Whiting 2Newest · SurveyUSA, field dates Oct 8 to Oct 12, released Oct 15, 718 likely votersPoll sponsored by KSTP-TV (St. Paul), KAAL-TV (Austin), WDIO-DT (Duluth)Polls updated Oct 30, 7:30 p.m. ET, from VoteHub
Show all 4 candidates on the ballot
- Peggy FlanaganDemocratic
- Michele TafoyaRepublican
- Rebecca WhitingLibertarian
- Marisa SimonettiIndependent
Showing major-party nominees, incumbents and candidates with 5%+ in the latest poll or comparable fundraising.
Polls over time
7 polls, through Election Day Nov 3The thick line is the 7-week average, not a forecast. How it’s calculated. All polls. Polls updated Oct 30, 7:30 p.m. ET, from VoteHub.
The polls in this chart (7)
No polls released in the last 14 days · latest results range from 40 to 50% (D) and 37.8 to 44.4% (R) (newest 5 polls on the chart)
7 of the 10 polls for this race, each with both names, plotted on the field end date.
| Pollster | Field dates | Released | Sample | Flanagan | Tafoya |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | Oct 8 to Oct 12 | Oct 15 | 718 likely voters | 45 | 42 |
| GQR | Oct 1 to Oct 4 | Oct 9 | 800 likely voters | 50 | 42 |
| Big Data Poll | Sep 29 to Sep 30 | Oct 2 | 622 likely voters | 40 | 37.8 |
| SurveyUSA | Sep 9 to Sep 14 | Sep 17 | 654 likely voters | 42 | 42 |
| Quantus Insights | Sep 8 to Sep 10 | Sep 11 | 720 likely voters | 48.2 | 44.4 |
| SurveyUSA | Aug 13 to Aug 17 | Aug 20 | 661 likely voters | 46 | 41 |
| Emerson College | Feb 6 to Feb 8 | May 28 | 1,000 likely voters | 47.1 | 40.6 |
Polls left off the chart (3 of 10)
| Poll | Why it is not on the chart |
|---|---|
| Emerson CollegeFeb 6 to Feb 8 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Angie Craig, Michele Tafoya) |
| Public Policy PollingSep 15 to Sep 16 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Angie Craig, Rep) |
| Public Policy PollingSep 15 to Sep 16 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Peggy Flanagan, Rep) |
Side by side
Left column: FlanaganRight column: Tafoya
- Total receipts, 2025-2026 cycle, through Oct 14
- $11.6M
- $12.5M
- Cash on hand
- $993K
- $2.8M
- Age on Election Day
- 47
- Not available
Money: FEC bulk data, through Oct 14. One or more are matched to the FEC by name, party and seat, so a total could belong to someone else.
How these are counted
Total receipts line of each candidate’s principal campaign committee, 2025-2026 cycle. Other sites may show career, six-year or all-committee totals, which differ. Flanagan: $11,563,963 received, $993,214 cash on hand. Tafoya: $12,501,786 received, $2,819,387 cash on hand.
More about this race
Candidates on the ballot
- Peggy FlanaganDemocratic
- Michele TafoyaRepublican
- Rebecca WhitingLibertarian
- Marisa SimonettiIndependent
Source: electionresultsfiles.sos.mn.gov, dated Oct 28
Seat on the ballot, shift from 2014 to 2020: 5.1 points toward Republicans (Democratic by 10.3 in 2014, Democratic by 5.2 in 2020).
Vote in Minnesota
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Official results for Minnesota
History (19 elections for this seat)
- Votes for listed candidates
- 3,189,323
- Election day
- November 5, 2024
US Senate, Minnesota, 2024, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticAmy KlobucharWon Democratic 1,792,44156.2% RepublicanRoyce White Republican 1,291,71240.5% LibertarianRebecca Whiting Libertarian 55,2151.7% OtherJoyce Lynne Lacey Other 46,3771.5% OtherOther Other 3,5780.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 3,214,256
- Election day
- November 3, 2020
US Senate, Minnesota, 2020, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticTina SmithWon Democratic 1,566,52248.7% RepublicanJason Lewis Republican 1,398,14543.5% OtherKevin O'Connor Other 190,1545.9% OtherOliver Steinberg Other 57,1741.8% Scattered write-ins Write-in 2,2610.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 2,596,879
- Election day
- November 6, 2018
US Senate, Minnesota, 2018, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticAmy KlobucharWon Democratic 1,566,17460.3% RepublicanJim Newberger Republican 940,43736.2% OtherDennis Schuller Other 66,2362.6% OtherPaula M Overby Other 23,1010.9% Scattered write-ins Write-in 9310.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 2,587,356
- Election day
- not on file
- Type
- Special election
US Senate, Minnesota, 2018, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticTina SmithWon Democratic 1,370,54053.0% RepublicanKarin Housley Republican 1,095,77742.4% OtherSarah Wellington Other 95,6143.7% IndependentJerry Trooien Independent 24,3240.9% Scattered write-ins Write-in 1,1010.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 1,981,528
- Election day
- November 4, 2014
US Senate, Minnesota, 2014, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticAl FrankenWon Democratic 1,053,20553.2% RepublicanMike McFadden Republican 850,22742.9% OtherSteve Carlson Other 47,5302.4% LibertarianHeather Johnson Libertarian 29,6851.5% Scattered write-ins Write-in 8810.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 2,843,207
- Election day
- November 6, 2012
US Senate, Minnesota, 2012, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticAmy KlobucharWon Democratic 1,854,59565.2% RepublicanKurt Bills Republican 867,97430.5% OtherStephen Williams Other 73,5392.6% OtherTim Davis Other 30,5311.1% OtherMichael Cavlan Other 13,9860.5% Scattered write-ins Write-in 2,5820.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 2,887,646
- Election day
- November 4, 2008
US Senate, Minnesota, 2008, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticAl FrankenWon Democratic 1,212,62942.0% RepublicanNorm Coleman Republican 1,212,31742.0% OtherDean Barkley Other 437,50515.2% LibertarianCharles Aldrich Libertarian 13,9230.5% OtherJames Niemackl Other 8,9070.3% Scattered write-ins Write-in 2,3650.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 2,202,772
- Election day
- November 7, 2006
US Senate, Minnesota, 2006, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticAmy KlobucharWon Democratic 1,278,84958.1% RepublicanMark R. Kennedy Republican 835,65337.9% OtherRobert Fitzgerald Other 71,1943.2% GreenMichael James Cavlan Green 10,7140.5% OtherBen Powers Other 5,4080.2% Scattered write-ins Write-in 9540.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 2,254,636
- Election day
- November 5, 2002
US Senate, Minnesota, 2002, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanNorm ColemanWon Republican 1,116,69749.5% DemocraticWalter F. Mondale Democratic 1,067,24647.3% OtherJim Moore Other 45,1392.0% DemocraticPaul Wellstone Democratic 11,3810.5% GreenRay Tricomo Green 10,1190.4% OtherMiro Drago Other 2,2540.1% Scattered write-ins Write-in 1,8000.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 2,419,520
- Election day
- November 7, 2000
US Senate, Minnesota, 2000, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticMark DaytonWon Democratic 1,181,55348.8% RepublicanRod Grams Republican 1,047,47443.3% OtherJames (Jim) Gibson Other 140,5835.8% OtherDavid Daniels Other 21,4470.9% OtherRebecca Ellis Other 12,9560.5% OtherDavid Swan Other 8,9150.4% LibertarianErik D. Pakieser Libertarian 6,5880.3% Scattered write-ins Write-in 40.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 2,182,905
- Election day
- November 5, 1996
US Senate, Minnesota, 1996, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticPaul WellstoneWon Democratic 1,098,43050.3% RepublicanRudy Boschwitz Republican 901,19441.3% OtherDean Barkley Other 152,3287.0% OtherTim Davis Other 14,1390.6% LibertarianRoy Ezra Carlton Libertarian 5,4280.2% OtherHoward B. Hanson Other 4,3810.2% OtherSteve Johnson Other 4,3210.2% OtherThomas A. Fiske Other 1,5540.1% Scattered write-ins Write-in 1,1300.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 1,772,929
- Election day
- November 8, 1994
US Senate, Minnesota, 1994, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanRod GramsWon Republican 869,65349.1% DemocraticAnn Wynia Democratic 781,86044.1% OtherDean M. Barkley Other 95,4005.4% OtherCandice E. Sjostrom Other 15,9200.9% OtherStephen Johnson Other 5,0540.3% Scattered write-ins Write-in 2,6140.1% OtherMarea Himelgrin Other 2,4280.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 1,808,045
- Election day
- November 6, 1990
US Senate, Minnesota, 1990, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticPaul David WellstoneWon Democratic 911,99950.4% RepublicanRudy Boschwitz Republican 864,37547.8% OtherRussell B. Bentley Other 29,8201.6% Scattered write-ins Write-in 1,8510.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 2,093,953
- Election day
- November 8, 1988
US Senate, Minnesota, 1988, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanDave DurenbergerWon Republican 1,176,21056.2% DemocraticHubert H. "Skip" Humphrey III Democratic 856,69440.9% OtherPolly Mann Other 44,4742.1% OtherDerrick P. Grimmer Other 9,0160.4% LibertarianArlen Overvig Libertarian 4,0390.2% OtherWendy Lyons Other 3,1050.1% Scattered write-ins Write-in 4150.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 2,066,143
- Election day
- November 6, 1984
US Senate, Minnesota, 1984, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanRudy BoschwitzWon Republican 1,199,92658.1% DemocraticJoan Anderson Growe Democratic 852,84441.3% OtherEleanor Garcia Other 5,3510.3% LibertarianRichard Putman Libertarian 4,6530.2% OtherJeffrey M. Miller Other 3,1290.2% OtherOther Other 2400.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 1,804,675
- Election day
- November 2, 1982
US Senate, Minnesota, 1982, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanDave DurenbergerWon Republican 949,20752.6% DemocraticMark Dayton Democratic 840,40146.6% OtherBill Onasch Other 5,8970.3% LibertarianFred G. Hewitt Libertarian 5,8700.3% OtherJeffrey M. Miller Other 3,3000.2% - Votes for listed candidates
- 1,580,622
- Election day
- November 7, 1978
US Senate, Minnesota, 1978, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanRudolph E. BoschwitzWon Republican 894,09256.6% DemocraticWendell Anderson Democratic 638,37540.4% OtherSal Carlone Other 23,2611.5% OtherWilliam Peterson Other 9,8560.6% OtherBrian John Coyle Other 8,0830.5% OtherJean T. Brust Other 3,8910.2% LibertarianLeonard Richards Libertarian 2,9920.2% Scattered write-ins Write-in 720.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 1,558,376
- Election day
- not on file
- Type
- Special election
US Senate, Minnesota, 1978, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanDavid DurenbergerWon Republican 957,90861.5% DemocraticBob Short Democratic 538,67534.6% OtherPaul Helm Other 45,4022.9% OtherChristine Frank Other 11,3970.7% LibertarianFrederick Hewitt Libertarian 4,1160.3% Scattered write-ins Write-in 8780.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 1,912,020
- Election day
- November 2, 1976
US Senate, Minnesota, 1976, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticHubert H. HumphreyWon Democratic 1,290,73667.5% RepublicanJerry Brekke Republican 478,60225.0% OtherPaul Helm Other 125,6126.6% OtherBill Peterson Other 9,3800.5% LibertarianRobin E. Miller Libertarian 5,4760.3% OtherMatt Savola Other 2,2140.1%
1976 to 2024: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. Senate statewide 1976-2024, retrieved Oct 28, 2026. Compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns; not an official source
Download and cite
Cite this page
Election Wrld. (2026). US Senate in Minnesota, election results. https://www.electionwrld.com/mn/us-senate. Retrieved October 30, 2026.
Sources
Sources: U.S. Senate: senators contact information XML (class per senator) (US government work, public domain), retrieved Oct 28, 2026; MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. Senate statewide 1976-2024 (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns, not an official source; unitedstates/congress-legislators (current) (CC0-1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by the @unitedstates project volunteers (rosters from official congressional sources) from official returns, not an official source.
DataState data (JSON)Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. Senate statewide 1976-2024, VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), FEC, Photo creditsData as of Oct 30, 2026 (candidate list Oct 28, 2026)