Arkansas Senate
Tue, Nov 3 · Seat held by Tom Cotton Republican since Jan 2015
3 candidates. Sorted by most raised, FEC through Oct 14.
- Tom Cotton RepublicanIncumbent$7.1M
- Hallie Shoffner DemocraticDemocratic$4.0M
- Jeff Wadlin LibertarianLibertarian$80K
Average of 2 polls, Oct 8 to Oct 28, from VoteHub · how it’s calculated1 is a partisan pollNewest · GrayHouse, field dates Oct 27 to Oct 28, released Oct 29, 509 likely voters, partisan (R), per VoteHubPoll sponsored by America One PoliciesPolls updated Oct 30, 7:30 p.m. ET, from VoteHub
Cotton 52.5Shoffner 40Wadlin 4.3
Polls over time
5 polls, through Election Day Nov 3The thick line is the 7-week average, not a forecast. How it’s calculated. All polls. Polls updated Oct 30, 7:30 p.m. ET, from VoteHub.
The polls in this chart (5)
2 polls released in the last 14 days · latest results range from 35 to 41% (D), 50 to 58% (R) and 4 to 4.5% (L) (newest 5 polls on the chart)
5 of the 5 polls for this race, each naming a candidate, plotted on the field end date.
| Pollster | Field dates | Released | Sample | Shoffner | Cotton | Wadlin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GrayHouse | Oct 27 to Oct 28 | Oct 29 | 509 likely voters | 39 | 55 | 4 |
| Hendrix College | Oct 8 to Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 709 likely voters | 41 | 50 | 4.5 |
| Grayhouse | Sep 30 to Oct 4 | Oct 9 | 550 likely voters | 40 | 51 | 4 |
| J.L. Partners | Aug 14 to Aug 18 | Aug 20 | 803 likely voters | 35 | 51 | 4 |
| GrayHouse | Feb 7 to Feb 9 | May 28 | 550 likely voters | 36 | 58 | — |
What changed in this race
Newest firstNEW POLLArkansas Senate
Arkansas Senate: Tom Cotton 55, Hallie Shoffner 39
GrayHouse, Oct 27 to Oct 28, 509 likely voters
More about this race
Candidates on the ballot
- Hallie ShoffnerDemocratic
- Tom CottonIncumbentRepublican
- Jeff WadlinLibertarian
Source: arkansas.tally-enr.com, dated Oct 28
Seat on the ballot, shift from 2014 to 2020: 15.9 points toward Republicans (Republican by 17.1 in 2014, Republican by 33.0 in 2020).
Vote in Arkansas
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History (16 elections for this seat)
- Votes for listed candidates
- 901,306
- Election day
- November 8, 2022
US Senate, Arkansas, 2022, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJohn BoozmanWon Republican 592,43765.7% DemocraticNatalie James Democratic 280,18731.1% LibertarianKenneth Cates Libertarian 28,6823.2% - Votes for listed candidates
- 1,193,261
- Election day
- November 3, 2020
US Senate, Arkansas, 2020, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanTom CottonWon Republican 793,87166.5% LibertarianRicky Dale Harrington Jr. Libertarian 399,39033.5% - Votes for listed candidates
- 1,107,522
- Election day
- November 8, 2016
US Senate, Arkansas, 2016, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJohn BoozmanWon Republican 661,98459.8% DemocraticConner Eldridge Democratic 400,60236.2% LibertarianFrank Gilbert Libertarian 43,8664.0% Scattered write-ins Write-in 1,0700.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 847,505
- Election day
- November 4, 2014
US Senate, Arkansas, 2014, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanTom CottonWon Republican 478,81956.5% DemocraticMark L. Pryor Democratic 334,17439.4% LibertarianNathan Lafrance Libertarian 17,2102.0% GreenMark H. Swaney Green 16,7972.0% Scattered write-ins Write-in 5050.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 779,957
- Election day
- November 2, 2010
US Senate, Arkansas, 2010, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJohn BoozmanWon Republican 451,61857.9% DemocraticBlanche L. Lincoln Democratic 288,15636.9% IndependentTrevor Drown Independent 25,2343.2% GreenJohn Laney Gray III Green 14,4301.9% Scattered write-ins Write-in 3760.0% OtherStephan "Troublemaker" Hercher Other 1430.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 1,011,754
- Election day
- November 4, 2008
US Senate, Arkansas, 2008, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticMark L. PryorWon Democratic 804,67879.5% GreenRebekah Kennedy Green 207,07620.5% - Votes for listed candidates
- 1,039,349
- Election day
- November 2, 2004
US Senate, Arkansas, 2004, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticBlanche L. LincolnWon Democratic 580,97355.9% RepublicanJim Holt Republican 458,03644.1% OtherGlen A. Schwarz Other 2120.0% Scattered write-ins Write-in 1280.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 804,121
- Election day
- November 5, 2002
US Senate, Arkansas, 2002, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticMark PryorWon Democratic 433,38653.9% RepublicanTim Hutchinson Republican 370,73546.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 700,831
- Election day
- November 3, 1998
US Senate, Arkansas, 1998, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticBlanche Lambert LincolnWon Democratic 385,87855.1% RepublicanFay Boozman Republican 295,87042.2% OtherCharley E. Heffley Other 18,8962.7% Scattered write-ins Write-in 1870.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 846,183
- Election day
- November 5, 1996
US Senate, Arkansas, 1996, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanY. Tim HutchinsonWon Republican 445,94252.7% DemocraticWinston Bryant Democratic 400,24147.3% - Votes for listed candidates
- 920,008
- Election day
- November 3, 1992
US Senate, Arkansas, 1992, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticDale BumpersWon Democratic 553,63560.2% RepublicanMike Huckabee Republican 366,37339.8% - Votes for listed candidates
- 494,735
- Election day
- November 6, 1990
US Senate, Arkansas, 1990, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticDavid H. PryorWon Democratic 493,91099.8% Scattered write-ins Write-in 8250.2% - Votes for listed candidates
- 695,487
- Election day
- November 4, 1986
US Senate, Arkansas, 1986, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticDale BumpersWon Democratic 433,12262.3% RepublicanAsa Hutchinson Republican 262,31337.7% Scattered write-ins Write-in 520.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 875,956
- Election day
- November 6, 1984
US Senate, Arkansas, 1984, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticDavid PryorWon Democratic 502,34157.3% RepublicanEd Bethune Republican 373,61542.7% - Votes for listed candidates
- 808,812
- Election day
- November 4, 1980
US Senate, Arkansas, 1980, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticDale BumpersWon Democratic 477,90559.1% RepublicanBill Clark Republican 330,57640.9% Scattered write-ins Write-in 3310.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 517,138
- Election day
- November 7, 1978
US Senate, Arkansas, 1978, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticDavid PryorWon Democratic 395,50676.5% RepublicanTom Kelly Republican 84,30816.3% IndependentJohn Graham Black Independent 37,2117.2% Scattered write-ins Write-in 1130.0%
1978 to 2022: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. Senate statewide 1976-2024, retrieved Oct 28, 2026. Compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns; not an official source
Download and cite
Cite this page
Election Wrld. (2026). US Senate in Arkansas, election results. https://www.electionwrld.com/ar/us-senate. Retrieved October 30, 2026.
Sources
Sources: U.S. Senate: senators contact information XML (class per senator) (US government work, public domain), retrieved Oct 28, 2026; MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. Senate statewide 1976-2024 (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns, not an official source; unitedstates/congress-legislators (current) (CC0-1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by the @unitedstates project volunteers (rosters from official congressional sources) from official returns, not an official source.
DataState data (JSON)Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. Senate statewide 1976-2024, VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), FEC, DIME (ODC-BY), Portraits: unitedstates/images (public domain), Photo creditsData as of Oct 30, 2026 (candidate list Oct 28, 2026)