Florida Senate

Tue, Nov 3 · Seat held by Ashley Moody Republican since Jan 2025

Special election · Tue, Nov 3

Ashley MoodyRepublican · IncumbentAge 51 · 1 year in Congress

Ashley Moody 49.6Angie Nixon 43.4

Average of 10 polls, Sep 14 to Oct 29, from VoteHub · how it’s calculated

Newest poll

1 is a partisan pollNewest · InsiderAdvantage, field dates Oct 28 to Oct 29, released Oct 30, 1,200 likely votersPolls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub

Angie NixonDemocraticAge 42 · 4 years since first win on file

Show all 3 candidates on the ballot

Angie NixonDemocratic
Ashley MoodyIncumbentRepublican
Neil J. GillespieIndependent

Showing major-party nominees, incumbents and candidates with 5%+ in the latest poll or comparable fundraising.

Polls over time

19 polls, through Election Day Nov 3

The thick line is the 7-week average, not a forecast. How it’s calculated. All polls. Polls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub.

The polls in this chart (19)

5 polls released in the last 14 days · latest results range from 40 to 47% (D) and 48 to 53% (R) (newest 5 polls on the chart)

19 of the 31 polls for this race, each with both names, plotted on the field end date.

Polls shown in the chart, newest field end date first, with the day each was released
Pollster	Field dates	Released	Sample	Nixon	Moody
InsiderAdvantage	Oct 28 to Oct 29	Oct 30	1,200 likely voters	43	49
ActiVote	Oct 17 to Oct 27	Oct 27	400 likely voters	47	53
Echelon Insights	Oct 16 to Oct 23	Oct 27	515 likely voters	43	51
co/efficient	Oct 18 to Oct 20	Oct 22	1,014 likely voters	40	48
University of North Florida	Oct 12 to Oct 19	Oct 21	1,414 likely voters	45	49
MDW	Oct 4 to Oct 10	Oct 15	2,351 likely voters	42.4	47.6
St. Pete Polls	Oct 5 to Oct 7	Oct 9	836 likely voters	45	47
Targoz Market Research	Sep 28 to Oct 4	Oct 9	847 likely voters	42	52
Targoz Market Research	Sep 28 to Oct 4	Oct 9	1,200 registered voters	38	50
Change Research	Sep 25 to Sep 27	Sep 29	1,063 likely voters	47	48
Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research	Sep 14 to Sep 21	Sep 25	—	40	51
InsiderAdvantage	Sep 20 to Sep 21	Sep 22	600 likely voters	41.8	49.3
St. Pete Polls	Sep 15 to Sep 17	Sep 18	913 likely voters	44.8	45.2
Quantus Insights	Sep 8 to Sep 10	Sep 11	733 likely voters	42.7	50.1
Change Research	Sep 7 to Sep 9	Sep 11	1,107 likely voters	47	47
University of North Florida	Jul 8 to Jul 17	Aug 19	848 likely voters	42	50
Stetson University	Mar 25 to Apr 13	Apr 27	848 likely voters	38	51
Emerson College	Mar 29 to Mar 31	Aug 19	1,125 likely voters	36	47
University of North Florida	Feb 21 to Mar 2	Aug 19	768 likely voters	38	46

Polls left off the chart (12 of 31)

Polls for this race that are not on the chart, with the reason for each
Poll	Why it is not on the chart
University of North FloridaJul 8 to Jul 17	Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Ashley Moody, Alexander Vindman)
Change ResearchJun 11 to Jun 14	Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Alexander Vindman, Ashley Moody)
Change ResearchJun 11 to Jun 14	Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Alexander Vindman, Ashley Moody)
McLaughlin & AssociatesJun 3 to Jun 7	Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Ashley Moody, Alexander Vindman)
Change ResearchMay 13 to May 16	Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Alexander Vindman, Ashley Moody)
Change ResearchMay 13 to May 16	Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Alexander Vindman, Ashley Moody)
Cherry CommunicationsMay 1 to May 9	Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Alexander Vindman, Ashley Moody)
Stetson UniversityMar 25 to Apr 13	Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Ashley Moody, Alexander Vindman)
Echelon InsightsApr 3 to Apr 9	Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Ashley Moody, Alexander Vindman)
MDW CommunicationsMar 27 to Apr 3	Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Ashley Moody, Alexander Vindman)
Emerson CollegeMar 29 to Mar 31	Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Ashley Moody, Alexander Vindman)
University of North FloridaFeb 21 to Mar 2	Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Ashley Moody, Alexander Vindman)

Side by side

Left column: MoodyRight column: Nixon

Total receipts, 2025-2026 cycle, through Oct 14: $14.5M; $11.3M
Cash on hand: $816K; $3.3M
Donor-based spectrum: LiberalCentristConservativeNixonNo published score for Moody
Years since first win on file: 1; 4
Age on Election Day: 51; 42

Money: FEC bulk data, through Oct 14. One or more are matched to the FEC by name, party and seat, so a total could belong to someone else.

How these are counted

Total receipts line of each candidate’s principal campaign committee, 2025-2026 cycle. Other sites may show career, six-year or all-committee totals, which differ. Moody: $14,524,032 received, $816,355 cash on hand. Nixon: $11,319,380 received, $3,266,795 cash on hand. The spectrum is a published research score, not our rating. How this works.

What changed in this race

Newest first

Polls via VoteHub (CC BY 4.0)

Oct 30
NEW POLLFlorida Senate
Florida Senate: Ashley Moody 49, Angie Nixon 43
InsiderAdvantage, Oct 28 to Oct 29, 1,200 likely voters
Oct 27
NEW POLLFlorida Senate
Florida Senate: Ashley Moody 53, Angie Nixon 47
ActiVote, Oct 17 to Oct 27, 400 likely voters

All changes

More about this race

Candidates on the ballot

Angie NixonDemocratic
Ashley MoodyIncumbentRepublican
Neil J. GillespieIndependent

Source: dos.elections.myflorida.com, dated Oct 28

Seat on the ballot, shift from 2016 to 2022: 8.7 points toward Republicans (Republican by 7.7 in 2016, Republican by 16.4 in 2022).

Vote in Florida

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Official results for Florida

History (17 elections for this seat)

Votes for listed candidates: 10,757,428
Election day: November 5, 2024

US Senate, Florida, 2024, every candidate
Candidate	Party	Votes and share	Share
RepublicanRick ScottWon	Republican	5,977,70655.6%	55.6%
DemocraticDebbie Mucarsel-Powell	Democratic	4,603,07742.8%	42.8%
IndependentBen Everidge	Independent	62,6830.6%	0.6%
LibertarianFeena Bonoan	Libertarian	57,3630.5%	0.5%
IndependentTuan Nguyen	Independent	56,5860.5%	0.5%
OtherOther	Other	130.0%	0.0%

Votes for listed candidates: 7,758,014
Election day: November 8, 2022

US Senate, Florida, 2022, every candidate
Candidate	Party	Votes and share	Share
RepublicanMarco RubioWon	Republican	4,474,84757.7%	57.7%
DemocraticVal Demings	Democratic	3,201,52241.3%	41.3%
LibertarianDennis Misigoy	Libertarian	32,1770.4%	0.4%
IndependentSteven B. Grant	Independent	31,8160.4%	0.4%
IndependentTuan Tq Nguyen	Independent	17,3850.2%	0.2%
Edward A. Gray	Write-in	1900.0%	0.0%
Uloma Uma Ekpete	Write-in	420.0%	0.0%
Moses Quiles	Write-in	330.0%	0.0%
Howard Knepper	Write-in	20.0%	0.0%

Votes for listed candidates: 8,190,005
Election day: November 6, 2018

US Senate, Florida, 2018, every candidate
Candidate	Party	Votes and share	Share
RepublicanRick ScottWon	Republican	4,099,50550.1%	50.1%
DemocraticBill Nelson	Democratic	4,089,47249.9%	49.9%
Scattered write-ins	Write-in	1,0280.0%	0.0%

Votes for listed candidates: 9,301,820
Election day: November 8, 2016

US Senate, Florida, 2016, every candidate
Candidate	Party	Votes and share	Share
RepublicanMarco RubioWon	Republican	4,835,19152.0%	52.0%
DemocraticPatrick Murphy	Democratic	4,122,08844.3%	44.3%
LibertarianPaul Stanton	Libertarian	196,9562.1%	2.1%
IndependentBruce Nathan	Independent	52,4510.6%	0.6%
IndependentTony Khoury	Independent	45,8200.5%	0.5%
IndependentSteven Machat	Independent	26,9180.3%	0.3%
IndependentBasil E. Dalack	Independent	22,2360.2%	0.2%
Scattered write-ins	Write-in	1040.0%	0.0%
OtherCharles Frederick Tolbert	Other	560.0%	0.0%

Votes for listed candidates: 8,189,946
Election day: November 6, 2012

US Senate, Florida, 2012, every candidate
Candidate	Party	Votes and share	Share
DemocraticBill NelsonWon	Democratic	4,523,45155.2%	55.2%
RepublicanConnie Mack	Republican	3,458,26742.2%	42.2%
IndependentBill Gaylor	Independent	126,0791.5%	1.5%
IndependentChris Borgia	Independent	82,0891.0%	1.0%
Scattered write-ins	Write-in	410.0%	0.0%
OtherNaomi Craine	Other	190.0%	0.0%

Votes for listed candidates: 5,411,106
Election day: November 2, 2010

US Senate, Florida, 2010, every candidate
Candidate	Party	Votes and share	Share
RepublicanMarco RubioWon	Republican	2,645,74348.9%	48.9%
IndependentCharlie Crist	Independent	1,607,54929.7%	29.7%
DemocraticKendrick B. Meek	Democratic	1,092,93620.2%	20.2%
LibertarianAlexander Andrew Snitker	Libertarian	24,8500.5%	0.5%
IndependentSue Askeland	Independent	15,3400.3%	0.3%
IndependentRick Tyler	Independent	7,3970.1%	0.1%
OtherBernie Decastro	Other	4,7920.1%	0.1%
IndependentLewis Jerome Armstrong	Independent	4,4430.1%	0.1%
IndependentBobbie Bean	Independent	4,3010.1%	0.1%
IndependentBruce Ray Riggs	Independent	3,6470.1%	0.1%
Scattered write-ins	Write-in	900.0%	0.0%
OtherMa	Other	180.0%	0.0%

Votes for listed candidates: 4,793,534
Election day: November 7, 2006

US Senate, Florida, 2006, every candidate
Candidate	Party	Votes and share	Share
DemocraticBill NelsonWon	Democratic	2,890,54860.3%	60.3%
RepublicanKatherine Harris	Republican	1,826,12738.1%	38.1%
IndependentBelinda Noah	Independent	24,8800.5%	0.5%
IndependentBrian Moore	Independent	19,6950.4%	0.4%
IndependentFloyd Ray Frazier	Independent	16,6280.3%	0.3%
IndependentRoy Tanner	Independent	15,5620.3%	0.3%
Scattered write-ins	Write-in	940.0%	0.0%

Votes for listed candidates: 7,429,894
Election day: November 2, 2004

US Senate, Florida, 2004, every candidate
Candidate	Party	Votes and share	Share
RepublicanMel MartinezWon	Republican	3,672,86449.4%	49.4%
DemocraticBetty Castor	Democratic	3,590,20148.3%	48.3%
OtherDennis F. Bradley	Other	166,6422.2%	2.2%
Scattered write-ins	Write-in	1870.0%	0.0%

Votes for listed candidates: 5,856,731
Election day: November 7, 2000

US Senate, Florida, 2000, every candidate
Candidate	Party	Votes and share	Share
DemocraticBill NelsonWon	Democratic	2,989,48751.0%	51.0%
RepublicanBill McCollum	Republican	2,705,34846.2%	46.2%
IndependentWillie Logan	Independent	80,8301.4%	1.4%
OtherJoe Simonetta	Other	26,0870.4%	0.4%
IndependentDarrell L. McCormick	Independent	21,6640.4%	0.4%
OtherJoel Deckard	Other	17,3380.3%	0.3%
IndependentAndy Martin	Independent	15,8890.3%	0.3%
Scattered write-ins	Write-in	880.0%	0.0%

US Senate, Florida, 1998, every candidate
Candidate	Party	Votes and share	Share
DemocraticBob GrahamWon	Democratic	2,436,40762.5%	62.5%
RepublicanCharlie Crist	Republican	1,463,75537.5%	37.5%

Votes for listed candidates: 4,106,816
Election day: November 8, 1994

US Senate, Florida, 1994, every candidate
Candidate	Party	Votes and share	Share
RepublicanConnie MackWon	Republican	2,895,20070.5%	70.5%
DemocraticHugh E. Rodham	Democratic	1,210,57729.5%	29.5%
Scattered write-ins	Write-in	1,0390.0%	0.0%

Votes for listed candidates: 4,962,290
Election day: November 3, 1992

US Senate, Florida, 1992, every candidate
Candidate	Party	Votes and share	Share
DemocraticBob GrahamWon	Democratic	3,245,56565.4%	65.4%
RepublicanBill Grant	Republican	1,716,50534.6%	34.6%
Scattered write-ins	Write-in	2200.0%	0.0%

Votes for listed candidates: 4,068,209
Election day: November 8, 1988

US Senate, Florida, 1988, every candidate
Candidate	Party	Votes and share	Share
RepublicanConnie MackWon	Republican	2,051,07150.4%	50.4%
DemocraticBuddy MacKay	Democratic	2,016,55349.6%	49.6%
Scattered write-ins	Write-in	5850.0%	0.0%

Votes for listed candidates: 3,429,996
Election day: November 4, 1986

US Senate, Florida, 1986, every candidate
Candidate	Party	Votes and share	Share
DemocraticBob GrahamWon	Democratic	1,877,54354.7%	54.7%
RepublicanPaula Hawkins	Republican	1,552,37645.3%	45.3%
Scattered write-ins	Write-in	770.0%	0.0%

Votes for listed candidates: 2,653,419
Election day: November 2, 1982

US Senate, Florida, 1982, every candidate
Candidate	Party	Votes and share	Share
DemocraticLawton ChilesWon	Democratic	1,637,66761.7%	61.7%
RepublicanVan B. Poole	Republican	1,015,33038.3%	38.3%
Scattered write-ins	Write-in	4220.0%	0.0%

Votes for listed candidates: 3,528,028
Election day: November 4, 1980

US Senate, Florida, 1980, every candidate
Candidate	Party	Votes and share	Share
RepublicanPaula HawkinsWon	Republican	1,822,46051.7%	51.7%
DemocraticBill Gunter	Democratic	1,705,40948.3%	48.3%
Scattered write-ins	Write-in	1590.0%	0.0%

Votes for listed candidates: 2,857,534
Election day: November 2, 1976

US Senate, Florida, 1976, every candidate
Candidate	Party	Votes and share	Share
DemocraticLawton ChilesWon	Democratic	1,799,51863.0%	63.0%
RepublicanJohn Grady	Republican	1,057,88637.0%	37.0%
Scattered write-insName as filed: Scatter	Write-in	1300.0%	0.0%

1976 to 2024: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. Senate statewide 1976-2024, retrieved Oct 28, 2026. Compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns; not an official source

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Cite this page

Election Wrld. (2026). US Senate in Florida, election results. https://www.electionwrld.com/fl/us-senate. Retrieved October 30, 2026.

Sources

Sources: U.S. Senate: senators contact information XML (class per senator) (US government work, public domain), retrieved Oct 28, 2026; MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. Senate statewide 1976-2024 (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns, not an official source; unitedstates/congress-legislators (current) (CC0-1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by the @unitedstates project volunteers (rosters from official congressional sources) from official returns, not an official source.

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DataState data (JSON)Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. Senate statewide 1976-2024, VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), FEC, DIME (ODC-BY), Portraits: unitedstates/images (public domain), Photo creditsData as of Oct 28, 2026