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Senate D 45I 2R 53House D 214I 1R 218Governors D 24R 26Election Day Tue, Nov 3Seats as of Oct 28
MT-2

Montana District 2

Tue, Nov 3 · Seat held by Troy Downing Republican since Jan 2025

4 candidates. Sorted by most raised, FEC through Oct 14.

Only 1 poll in the last 7 weeksNewest poll · Montana State University Billings, field dates Oct 5 to Oct 21, released Oct 30, 350 adultsPolls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub

Downing 29Miller 18McCracken 15Eisenhauer 2

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Montana District 2

Preview card: Montana District 2

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Last election
Troy Downing (Republican) won by 32.0 points, 2024
Margin since 2022
4.4 points toward Democrats
On the 2026 ballot
4 candidates

All Montana districts

Polls over time

One published poll names these candidates: Montana State University Billings, Oct 5 to Oct 21, released Oct 30. All 1 on the polls page. Polls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub.

What changed in this race

Newest first

Polls via VoteHub (CC BY 4.0)

  1. NEW POLLMontana District 2

    Montana District 2: Troy Downing 29, Brian Miller 18

    Montana State University Billings, Oct 5 to Oct 21, 350 adults

All changes

More about this race

Candidates on the ballot

Party nominees only, not the certified ballot.

Source: candidatefiling.mt.gov, dated Oct 28

Shift since 2022: 4.4 points toward Democrats (Republican by 36.4 in 2022, Republican by 32.0 in 2024).

All Montana districts

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Montana District 2 selected among its state's congressional districts, colored by the 2024 US House resultMontana District 2: Troy Downing (R), Republican by 32.0 points, 2024Montana District 1: Ryan K. Zinke (R), Republican by 7.7 points, 2024
2024 US House margin
  • D 15+ pts
  • D 5 to 15 pts
  • D under 5 pts
  • R under 5 pts
  • R 5 to 15 pts
  • R 15+ pts
  • Other winner
  • No data
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Official results for Montana

History (10 elections for this seat)
  • No results on file 1991 to 2021

1976 to 2024: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, retrieved Oct 28, 2026. Compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns; not an official source

District numbers are reused after each redistricting, so rows on older lines cover different territory than today's Montana District 2.

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Cite this page

Election Wrld. (2026). Montana District 2, US House results. https://www.electionwrld.com/mt/congress/2. Retrieved October 30, 2026.

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<p style="font-size:13px">Data: <a href="https://www.electionwrld.com">Election Wrld</a>, CC BY 4.0</p>
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Sources

Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024 (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns, not an official source; Census TIGERweb Legislative MapServer (120th CDs layer 0, 119th CDs layer 4, 2026 SLD upper layer 1 and lower layer 2) (US Census Bureau, public domain), retrieved Oct 28, 2026; unitedstates/congress-legislators (current) (CC0-1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by the @unitedstates project volunteers (rosters from official congressional sources) from official returns, not an official source.

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DataState data (JSON)Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), FEC, DIME (ODC-BY), Portraits: unitedstates/images (public domain)Data as of Oct 28, 2026