Nevada Governor
Tue, Nov 3 · Governor Joe Lombardo Republican since Jan 2023
Aaron D. Ford 48.0Joe Lombardo 46.0
Average of 2 polls, Oct 20 to Oct 28, from VoteHub · how it’s calculated
Newest poll
Also in the average: Danielle Ford 1Newest · Noble Predictive Insights, field dates Oct 26 to Oct 28, released Oct 30, 487 likely votersPolls updated Oct 30, 7:30 p.m. ET, from VoteHub
Show all 3 candidates on the ballot
- Aaron D. FordDemocratic
- Danielle FordIndependent
- Joe LombardoIncumbentRepublican
Showing major-party nominees, incumbents and candidates with 5%+ in the latest poll or comparable fundraising.
Polls over time
8 polls, through Election Day Nov 3The thick line is the 7-week average, not a forecast. How it’s calculated. All polls. Polls updated Oct 30, 7:30 p.m. ET, from VoteHub.
The polls in this chart (8)
2 polls released in the last 14 days · latest results range from 38 to 49% (D) and 39 to 47% (R) (newest 5 polls on the chart)
8 of the 8 polls for this race, each with both names, plotted on the field end date.
| Pollster | Field dates | Released | Sample | Ford | Lombardo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights | Oct 26 to Oct 28 | Oct 30 | 487 likely voters | 47 | 47 |
| Hart Research Associates | Oct 20 to Oct 25 | Oct 27 | 950 likely voters | 49 | 45 |
| Noble Predictive Insights | Sep 22 to Sep 26 | Oct 6 | 708 likely voters | 40 | 42 |
| Emerson College | Sep 5 to Sep 8 | Sep 10 | 680 likely voters | 44.2 | 42 |
| Noble Predictive Insights | Mar 10 to Mar 13 | Apr 27 | 845 registered voters | 38 | 39 |
| Hart Research Associates | Feb 11 to Feb 17 | Apr 27 | 800 likely voters | 43 | 46 |
| Emerson College | Nov 16 to Nov 18 | Apr 27 | 800 registered voters | 41.1 | 41.1 |
| Noble Predictive Insights | Oct 7 to Oct 13 | Apr 27 | 766 registered voters | 37 | 40 |
Side by side
Left column: FordRight column: Lombardo
- Donor-based spectrum
- LiberalCentristConservativeLombardoNo published score for Ford
- Years since first win
- Not available
- 4
- Age on Election Day
- 54
- 63
How these are counted
The spectrum is a published research score, not our rating. How this works.
What changed in this race
Newest firstNEW POLLNevada Governor
Nevada Governor: Joe Lombardo 47, Aaron Ford 47
Noble Predictive Insights, Oct 26 to Oct 28, 487 likely voters
NEW POLLNevada Governor
Nevada Governor: Aaron Ford 49, Joe Lombardo 45
Hart Research Associates, Oct 20 to Oct 25, 950 likely voters
More about this race
Candidates on the ballot
- Aaron D. FordDemocratic
- Danielle FordIndependent
- Joe LombardoIncumbentRepublican
Source: clarkcountynv.gov (PDF), dated Oct 7
Vote in Nevada
Trouble voting? Election Protection hotline: 866-OUR-VOTE. A nonpartisan coalition of civil-rights and voting-rights groups, not a government service. 866ourvote.org
History (5 elections for this seat)
- Votes for listed candidates
- 1,004,191
- Election day
- November 8, 2022
Governor, Nevada, 2022, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJoe LombardoWon Republican 497,37749.5% DemocraticSteve Sisolak(incumbent) Democratic 481,99148.0% LibertarianBrandon Davis Libertarian 14,9131.5% OtherEd Bridges Independent American Party 9,9101.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 952,934
- Election day
- November 6, 2018
Governor, Nevada, 2018, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticSteve SisolakWon Democratic 480,00750.4% RepublicanAdam Paul Laxalt Republican 440,32046.2% IndependentRyan Bundy Independent 13,8911.5% OtherRuss Best Independent American Party 10,0761.1% LibertarianJared Lord Libertarian 8,6400.9% - Votes for listed candidates
- 547,349
- Election day
- November 4, 2014
Governor, Nevada, 2014, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanBrian SandovalWon(incumbent) Republican 386,34070.6% DemocraticBob Goodman Democratic 130,72223.9% Independent[NONE Of These] No Party Affiliation 15,7512.9% IndependentDavid Lory Vanderbeek Independent 14,5362.7% - Votes for listed candidates
- 716,529
- Election day
- November 2, 2010
Governor, Nevada, 2010, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanBrian SandovalWon Republican 382,35053.4% DemocraticRory Reid Democratic 298,17141.6% Independent[NONE Of These] No Party Affiliation 12,2311.7% IndependentGino Disimone Independent 6,4030.9% OtherFloyd Fitzgibbons Independent American Party 5,0490.7% LibertarianArthur Forest Lampitt Jr. Libertarian 4,6720.7% GreenDavid Scott Curtis Green 4,4370.6% IndependentAaron Y. Honig Independent 3,2160.4% - Votes for listed candidates
- 582,158
- Election day
- November 7, 2006
Governor, Nevada, 2006, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJim GibbonsWon Republican 279,00347.9% DemocraticDina Titus Democratic 255,68443.9% Independent[NONE Of These] No Party Affiliation 20,6993.6% OtherChristopher H. Hansen Independent American Party 20,0193.4% GreenCraig O. Bergland Green 6,7531.2%
2006 to 2022: Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder, Candidates in American General Elections, version 3.1 (2006-2023 governor rows), retrieved Oct 28, 2026. Compiled by Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder (Harvard Dataverse) from official returns; not an official source
Governor races before 2006 are not on file.
Data notes (15)
- Source priority per race: (1) a state election office's own certified results parsed in scripts/data/gov_results.py (NJ Division of Elections PDFs, Virginia Department of Elections, the Civera ElectionStats databases run by CT, VA, VT, CO, NY, NM and SC, the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, the NC State Board of Elections archive); (2) the open Cha/Kuriwaki/Snyder 'Candidates in American General Elections' file (Harvard Dataverse, CC0), which copies each state's statement of vote; (3) OpenElections county files and the 2020 Dataverse official-results tables, used only to add named candidates the Dataverse file omitted and to add the write-in count; (4) MEDSL precinct sums, used the same way and only when their Democratic and Republican totals agree with the Dataverse rows to 0.3 percent. Each race's source is listed in web/data/sources/gov-results.json.
- total is the sum of the candidate rows in the file, and pct is votes divided by that total, rounded to one decimal. Blank, void, over and under votes are never in total. Write-in votes are in total as a 'Write-ins' row (writein: true) wherever a source reports them: the official databases, OpenElections, and MEDSL precinct returns. The Dataverse file leaves write-ins out, so MEDSL's write-in sum is added when MEDSL's count for every named candidate equals the Dataverse count exactly (for example AK 2022, 784 write-ins, and AL 2022, 9,432, both matching the state's statement of vote). Each race's source ids are in the race's source and sourceAlso fields and in the gov-results-<st> entry of sources.json.
- 151 races not taken from a state's own results file have no write-in row. Either the state counted no write-ins, or the sources on file leave them out (MEDSL's precinct sums did not match every named candidate exactly, or MEDSL has no file for that year); where they were left out, total is short by the write-ins and pct can run slightly above the state's printed percentage: AK 2006, AK 2010, AK 2014, AL 2006, AL 2010, AL 2014, AL 2018, AR 2006, AR 2014, AR 2018, AR 2022, AZ 2002, AZ 2014, AZ 2022, CA 2014, CA 2018, CA 2022, DE 2008, DE 2012, DE 2016, DE 2020, DE 2024, GA 2014, GA 2018, HI 2006, HI 2010, HI 2014, HI 2018, HI 2022, IA 2006, IA 2010, IA 2014, ID 1998, ID 2006, ID 2010, ID 2022, IL 2010, IL 2014, IL 2018, IN 2004, IN 2008, IN 2012, IN 2016, IN 2020, KS 2006, KS 2010, KS 2014, KS 2018, KS 2022, KY 2007, KY 2011, KY 2015, KY 2019, LA 2007, LA 2011, LA 2015, LA 2019, LA 2023, MD 2006, MD 2014, MD 2022, ME 2006, ME 2010, ME 2014, ME 2022, MI 2006, MI 2010, MI 2014, MI 2022, MN 2006, MN 2010, MN 2014, MO 2020, MS 2007, MS 2011, MS 2015, MS 2019, MS 2023, MT 2000, MT 2004, MT 2008, MT 2012, MT 2016, MT 2020, MT 2024, ND 2008, NE 2006, NE 2010, NE 2014, NE 2018, NE 2022, NH 2008, NH 2010, NH 2012, NH 2014, NH 2024, NM 2010, NV 2006, NV 2010, NV 2014, NV 2018, NV 2022, OH 2014, OH 2018, OK 2006, OK 2010, OK 2014, OK 2018, OK 2022, OR 2006, OR 2010, OR 2014, OR 2018, OR 2022, PA 2002, PA 2006, PA 2010, PA 2014, PA 2018, PA 2022, RI 2006, RI 2010, RI 2014, SC 2006, SD 2006, SD 2010, SD 2014, SD 2018, SD 2022, TX 2014, TX 2018, TX 2022, UT 2008, UT 2010, UT 2012, UT 2020, WA 2008, WA 2012, WA 2016, WI 2006, WI 2010, WI 2014, WI 2018, WV 2008, WV 2011, WV 2012, WV 2016, WV 2020, WV 2024, WY 2002, WY 2006.
- party is D, R, I, L, G, O or N from the party label in the source; party_label keeps the source's wording. The Dataverse file prints short labels (Lbt, Grn, Const, DFL, NPA); those are expanded to Libertarian, Green, Constitution, Democratic-Farmer-Labor and No Party Affiliation. Fusion candidates (NY, CT, SC, and the Democratic-Progressive line in VT) are one candidate with all of their ballot lines added together.
- Names: the Dataverse file stores 'LAST, FIRST MIDDLE (NICKNAME), SUFFIX'; the display name uses the nickname when there is one (Josh Shapiro, Bob Riley) and otherwise the given names. All-caps source names were title-cased by rule and can be wrong for internal capitals (DiGiulio, DeWine). Official lists that print only surnames (NJ 1997; MA tickets from 2010 on) take the full name from the Dataverse row of the same race where the surname and party match, otherwise stay surname-only.
- incumbent is true or false only for races built from the Dataverse file (it carries an incumbency code; code 3, a governor who succeeded to the office, is treated as incumbent). It is null for official-source races and for candidates added from OpenElections or MEDSL.
- Louisiana uses an open primary with a runoff. One race per election is stored: the round that decided it (the October primary when someone won more than 50 percent, otherwise the November runoff, marked runoff:true). Exact dates for those rounds come from the Dataverse/official files where present and are set in the script otherwise (LA_DATES); check them before showing a date.
- Recall elections (Wisconsin June 2012, California September 2021) are not included. Only regular and special general elections for the office are stored; primaries and runoff primaries are not.
- scripts/data/federal_results.py, if it is re-run, rewrites every web/data/results/governor/{ST}.json to []. Run scripts/data/gov_results.py after it, or remove build_governor() from that script.
- NV: No governor general-election result in this file for 4 of 9 expected election years between 1990 and 2025: 1990, 1994, 1998, 2002. No open or official bulk source was found and parsed for them yet; they are gaps, not zeroes.
- 2014: built from the Dataverse candidates file only; no second source agreed with it at candidate level, so a minor-party candidate who is missing from that file would be missing here too
- 2022: candidates added from MEDSL precinct sums (not certified totals; can differ slightly from the official count): Brandon Davis, Ed Bridges
- Candidate name is the sitting governor's officials-file spelling for 16 rows (the race's winner, same state, race within the governor's tenure, same surname and a compatible first name). Text encoding and casing are repaired by scripts/data/names.py.
- Governor races earlier than the first year listed are not loaded yet for 50 states (AK from 2006; AL from 2006; AR from 2002; AZ from 2002; CA from 2002; CO from 1990; CT from 1990; DE from 2008; FL from 1990; GA from 2002; HI from 2006; IA from 2002; ID from 1994; IL from 2006; IN from 2004; KS from 2006; KY from 2007; LA from 2007; MA from 1990; MD from 2006; ME from 2006; MI from 2006; MN from 2006; MO from 2008; MS from 2007; MT from 2000; NC from 1992; ND from 2008; NE from 2006; NH from 2006; NJ from 1993; NM from 2002; NV from 2006; NY from 1994; OH from 2002; OK from 2006; OR from 2006; PA from 2002; RI from 2006; SC from 2006; SD from 2006; TN from 2002; TX from 1994; UT from 2008; VA from 1993; VT from 1990; WA from 2008; WI from 2006; WV from 2000; WY from 2002). The sources on file start later; nothing was filled in from memory. Each governor page says so under History.
- 1 duplicate candidate rows merged: a 0-vote placeholder row beside the real row is dropped. governor/CO 2022 Paul Noël Fiorino
Download and cite
Cite this page
Election Wrld. (2026). Governor of Nevada. https://www.electionwrld.com/nv/governor. Retrieved October 30, 2026.
Sources
Sources: Wikidata SPARQL (governor position holders, party) (CC0-1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by the Wikidata community (not an official source; to be cross-checked against official governor pages) from official returns, not an official source; 3 U.S.C. 1, 2 U.S.C. 1 and 7: Election Day, first Tuesday after the first Monday in November (US government work, public domain), retrieved Oct 28, 2026; Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder, Candidates in American General Elections, version 3.1 (2006-2023 governor rows) (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder (Harvard Dataverse) from official returns, not an official source; Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder, Candidates in American General Elections, version 4.1 (2024 governor rows) (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder (Harvard Dataverse) from official returns, not an official source; OpenElections state results repositories (github.com/openelections/openelections-data-<st>) (No license is stated in the OpenElections repositories. OpenElections says its data is free for anyone to use. Written permission requested (docs/PERMISSION-REQUESTS.md). No CC0 claim.), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by OpenElections volunteers from official returns, not an official source.
DataState data (JSON)Sources: Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder, Candidates in American General Elections, version 3.1 (2006-2023 governor rows), VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), DIME (ODC-BY), Photo creditsData as of Oct 30, 2026 (candidate list Oct 28, 2026)