Skip to content
Election Wrld, home
Menu
Appearance
Senate D 45I 2R 53House D 214I 1R 218Governors D 24R 26Election Day Tue, Nov 3Seats as of Oct 28
NY

New York Governor

Tue, Nov 3 · Governor Kathy Hochul Democratic since Aug 2021

Bruce A. BlakemanRepublicanAge 71

Bruce A. Blakeman 38.2Kathy Hochul 52.1

Average of 4 polls, Sep 23 to Oct 19, from VoteHub · how it’s calculated

Newest poll

1 is a partisan pollNewest · Quinnipiac University, field dates Oct 15 to Oct 19, released Oct 22, 1,167 likely votersPolls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub

Kathy HochulDemocratic · IncumbentAge 68 · 4 years since first win on file

Share

New York Governor: Kathy Hochul vs Bruce A. Blakeman

Preview card: New York Governor: Kathy Hochul vs Bruce A. Blakeman

Post to

Polls over time

24 polls, through Election Day Nov 3
20%40%60%Sep 2026OctNovNov 3Siena University, Aug 3 to Aug 6: Hochul 49Concord Public Opinion Partners, Aug 19 to Aug 21: Hochul 50Quinnipiac University, Sep 17 to Sep 20: Hochul 58co/efficient, Sep 23 to Sep 25: Hochul 48Emerson College, Oct 3 to Oct 5: Hochul 52.4Beacon Research, Oct 1 to Oct 6: Hochul 53Quinnipiac University, Oct 15 to Oct 19: Hochul 55Siena University, Aug 3 to Aug 6: Blakeman 39Concord Public Opinion Partners, Aug 19 to Aug 21: Blakeman 34Quinnipiac University, Sep 17 to Sep 20: Blakeman 39co/efficient, Sep 23 to Sep 25: Blakeman 41Emerson College, Oct 3 to Oct 5: Blakeman 39.7Beacon Research, Oct 1 to Oct 6: Blakeman 31Quinnipiac University, Oct 15 to Oct 19: Blakeman 41Hochul52.1Blakeman38.2

The thick line is the 7-week average, not a forecast. How it’s calculated. All polls. Polls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub.

The polls in this chart (24)

1 poll released in the last 14 days · latest results range from 48 to 58% (D) and 31 to 41% (R) (newest 5 polls on the chart)

24 of the 24 polls for this race, each with both names, plotted on the field end date.

Polls shown in the chart, newest field end date first, with the day each was released
PollsterField datesReleasedSampleHochulBlakeman
Quinnipiac UniversityOct 15 to Oct 19Oct 221,167 likely voters5541
Beacon ResearchOct 1 to Oct 6Oct 15820 registered voters5331
Emerson CollegeOct 3 to Oct 5Oct 8900 likely voters52.439.7
co/efficientSep 23 to Sep 25Oct 61,046 likely voters4841
Quinnipiac UniversitySep 17 to Sep 20Sep 241,026 likely voters5839
Concord Public Opinion PartnersAug 19 to Aug 21Sep 3505 likely voters5034
Siena UniversityAug 3 to Aug 6Aug 12811 likely voters4939
Red Oak StrategicJul 7 to Jul 12Jul 292,000 registered voters4743
co/efficientJun 30 to Jul 2Jul 71,085 likely voters4741
Siena CollegeJun 23 to Jun 26Apr 27800 registered voters4419
Siena UniversityJun 17 to Jun 23Jun 251,120 registered voters5232
PollfinityJun 11 to Jun 14Jun 23229 likely voters5040
Siena UniversityApr 27 to Apr 30May 28806 registered voters4933
Echelon Insights/Tusk StrategiesMar 24 to Mar 26Apr 27500 registered voters5540
Siena CollegeMar 23 to Mar 26Apr 27804 registered voters4734
Siena CollegeFeb 23 to Feb 26Apr 27805 registered voters5131
Marist CollegeFeb 16 to Feb 19Apr 271,442 registered voters5033
MAD Global StrategyFeb 2 to Feb 4Apr 27600 likely voters4734
Siena CollegeJan 26 to Jan 28Apr 27802 registered voters5428
John Zogby StrategiesJan 6 to Jan 8Apr 27844 likely voters5339
Siena CollegeDec 8 to Dec 12Apr 27801 registered voters5025
Siena CollegeDec 8 to Dec 12Apr 27801 registered voters5025
J.L. PartnersNov 9 to Nov 10Apr 27500 likely voters4736
GrayhouseApr 22 to Apr 24Apr 27600 registered voters4436

Side by side

Left column: BlakemanRight column: Hochul

Donor-based spectrum
LiberalCentristConservativeHochulNo published score for Blakeman
Races won and lost
None on file
1-1
Years since first win on file
Not available
4
Age on Election Day
71
68
How these are counted

The spectrum is a published research score, not our rating. How this works. Wins and losses count the races in our results files, the same as each profile.

What changed in this race

Newest first

Polls via VoteHub (CC BY 4.0)

  1. NEW POLLNew York Governor

    New York Governor: Kathy Hochul 55, Bruce Blakeman 41

    Quinnipiac University, Oct 15 to Oct 19, 1,167 likely voters

All changes

More about this race

Candidates on the ballot

  • Kathy HochulIncumbentDemocratic(Democratic, Working Families)with Adrienne E. Adams
  • Bruce A. BlakemanRepublican(Republican, Conservative, Vote Affordable)with Todd Hood

Source: elections.ny.gov, dated Oct 7

Vote in New York

Trouble voting? Election Protection hotline: 866-OUR-VOTE. A nonpartisan coalition of civil-rights and voting-rights groups, not a government service. 866ourvote.org

Official results for New York

History (8 elections for this seat)

1994 to 2022: Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder, Candidates in American General Elections, version 3.1 (2006-2023 governor rows), retrieved Oct 28, 2026. Compiled by Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder (Harvard Dataverse) from official returns; not an official source

Governor races before 1994 are not on file.

Data notes (13)
  • Source priority per race: (1) a state election office's own certified results parsed in scripts/data/gov_results.py (NJ Division of Elections PDFs, Virginia Department of Elections, the Civera ElectionStats databases run by CT, VA, VT, CO, NY, NM and SC, the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, the NC State Board of Elections archive); (2) the open Cha/Kuriwaki/Snyder 'Candidates in American General Elections' file (Harvard Dataverse, CC0), which copies each state's statement of vote; (3) OpenElections county files and the 2020 Dataverse official-results tables, used only to add named candidates the Dataverse file omitted and to add the write-in count; (4) MEDSL precinct sums, used the same way and only when their Democratic and Republican totals agree with the Dataverse rows to 0.3 percent. Each race's source is listed in web/data/sources/gov-results.json.
  • total is the sum of the candidate rows in the file, and pct is votes divided by that total, rounded to one decimal. Blank, void, over and under votes are never in total. Write-in votes are in total as a 'Write-ins' row (writein: true) wherever a source reports them: the official databases, OpenElections, and MEDSL precinct returns. The Dataverse file leaves write-ins out, so MEDSL's write-in sum is added when MEDSL's count for every named candidate equals the Dataverse count exactly (for example AK 2022, 784 write-ins, and AL 2022, 9,432, both matching the state's statement of vote). Each race's source ids are in the race's source and sourceAlso fields and in the gov-results-<st> entry of sources.json.
  • 151 races not taken from a state's own results file have no write-in row. Either the state counted no write-ins, or the sources on file leave them out (MEDSL's precinct sums did not match every named candidate exactly, or MEDSL has no file for that year); where they were left out, total is short by the write-ins and pct can run slightly above the state's printed percentage: AK 2006, AK 2010, AK 2014, AL 2006, AL 2010, AL 2014, AL 2018, AR 2006, AR 2014, AR 2018, AR 2022, AZ 2002, AZ 2014, AZ 2022, CA 2014, CA 2018, CA 2022, DE 2008, DE 2012, DE 2016, DE 2020, DE 2024, GA 2014, GA 2018, HI 2006, HI 2010, HI 2014, HI 2018, HI 2022, IA 2006, IA 2010, IA 2014, ID 1998, ID 2006, ID 2010, ID 2022, IL 2010, IL 2014, IL 2018, IN 2004, IN 2008, IN 2012, IN 2016, IN 2020, KS 2006, KS 2010, KS 2014, KS 2018, KS 2022, KY 2007, KY 2011, KY 2015, KY 2019, LA 2007, LA 2011, LA 2015, LA 2019, LA 2023, MD 2006, MD 2014, MD 2022, ME 2006, ME 2010, ME 2014, ME 2022, MI 2006, MI 2010, MI 2014, MI 2022, MN 2006, MN 2010, MN 2014, MO 2020, MS 2007, MS 2011, MS 2015, MS 2019, MS 2023, MT 2000, MT 2004, MT 2008, MT 2012, MT 2016, MT 2020, MT 2024, ND 2008, NE 2006, NE 2010, NE 2014, NE 2018, NE 2022, NH 2008, NH 2010, NH 2012, NH 2014, NH 2024, NM 2010, NV 2006, NV 2010, NV 2014, NV 2018, NV 2022, OH 2014, OH 2018, OK 2006, OK 2010, OK 2014, OK 2018, OK 2022, OR 2006, OR 2010, OR 2014, OR 2018, OR 2022, PA 2002, PA 2006, PA 2010, PA 2014, PA 2018, PA 2022, RI 2006, RI 2010, RI 2014, SC 2006, SD 2006, SD 2010, SD 2014, SD 2018, SD 2022, TX 2014, TX 2018, TX 2022, UT 2008, UT 2010, UT 2012, UT 2020, WA 2008, WA 2012, WA 2016, WI 2006, WI 2010, WI 2014, WI 2018, WV 2008, WV 2011, WV 2012, WV 2016, WV 2020, WV 2024, WY 2002, WY 2006.
  • party is D, R, I, L, G, O or N from the party label in the source; party_label keeps the source's wording. The Dataverse file prints short labels (Lbt, Grn, Const, DFL, NPA); those are expanded to Libertarian, Green, Constitution, Democratic-Farmer-Labor and No Party Affiliation. Fusion candidates (NY, CT, SC, and the Democratic-Progressive line in VT) are one candidate with all of their ballot lines added together.
  • Names: the Dataverse file stores 'LAST, FIRST MIDDLE (NICKNAME), SUFFIX'; the display name uses the nickname when there is one (Josh Shapiro, Bob Riley) and otherwise the given names. All-caps source names were title-cased by rule and can be wrong for internal capitals (DiGiulio, DeWine). Official lists that print only surnames (NJ 1997; MA tickets from 2010 on) take the full name from the Dataverse row of the same race where the surname and party match, otherwise stay surname-only.
  • incumbent is true or false only for races built from the Dataverse file (it carries an incumbency code; code 3, a governor who succeeded to the office, is treated as incumbent). It is null for official-source races and for candidates added from OpenElections or MEDSL.
  • Louisiana uses an open primary with a runoff. One race per election is stored: the round that decided it (the October primary when someone won more than 50 percent, otherwise the November runoff, marked runoff:true). Exact dates for those rounds come from the Dataverse/official files where present and are set in the script otherwise (LA_DATES); check them before showing a date.
  • Recall elections (Wisconsin June 2012, California September 2021) are not included. Only regular and special general elections for the office are stored; primaries and runoff primaries are not.
  • scripts/data/federal_results.py, if it is re-run, rewrites every web/data/results/governor/{ST}.json to []. Run scripts/data/gov_results.py after it, or remove build_governor() from that script.
  • NY: No governor general-election result in this file for 1 of 9 expected election years between 1990 and 2025: 1990. No open or official bulk source was found and parsed for them yet; they are gaps, not zeroes.
  • Candidate name is the sitting governor's officials-file spelling for 16 rows (the race's winner, same state, race within the governor's tenure, same surname and a compatible first name). Text encoding and casing are repaired by scripts/data/names.py.
  • Governor races earlier than the first year listed are not loaded yet for 50 states (AK from 2006; AL from 2006; AR from 2002; AZ from 2002; CA from 2002; CO from 1990; CT from 1990; DE from 2008; FL from 1990; GA from 2002; HI from 2006; IA from 2002; ID from 1994; IL from 2006; IN from 2004; KS from 2006; KY from 2007; LA from 2007; MA from 1990; MD from 2006; ME from 2006; MI from 2006; MN from 2006; MO from 2008; MS from 2007; MT from 2000; NC from 1992; ND from 2008; NE from 2006; NH from 2006; NJ from 1993; NM from 2002; NV from 2006; NY from 1994; OH from 2002; OK from 2006; OR from 2006; PA from 2002; RI from 2006; SC from 2006; SD from 2006; TN from 2002; TX from 1994; UT from 2008; VA from 1993; VT from 1990; WA from 2008; WI from 2006; WV from 2000; WY from 2002). The sources on file start later; nothing was filled in from memory. Each governor page says so under History.
  • 1 duplicate candidate rows merged: a 0-vote placeholder row beside the real row is dropped. governor/CO 2022 Paul Noël Fiorino

Download and cite

Cite this page

Election Wrld. (2026). Governor of New York. https://www.electionwrld.com/ny/governor. Retrieved October 30, 2026.

Sources

Sources: Wikidata SPARQL (governor position holders, party) (CC0-1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by the Wikidata community (not an official source; to be cross-checked against official governor pages) from official returns, not an official source; 3 U.S.C. 1, 2 U.S.C. 1 and 7: Election Day, first Tuesday after the first Monday in November (US government work, public domain), retrieved Oct 28, 2026; Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder, Candidates in American General Elections, version 3.1 (2006-2023 governor rows) (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder (Harvard Dataverse) from official returns, not an official source; Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder, Candidates in American General Elections, version 4.1 (2024 governor rows) (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder (Harvard Dataverse) from official returns, not an official source; OpenElections state results repositories (github.com/openelections/openelections-data-<st>) (No license is stated in the OpenElections repositories. OpenElections says its data is free for anyone to use. Written permission requested (docs/PERMISSION-REQUESTS.md). No CC0 claim.), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by OpenElections volunteers from official returns, not an official source; Official state election databases on the Civera ElectionStats platform: Connecticut Secretary of the State, Virginia Department of Elections, Vermont Secretary of State, Colorado Secretary of State, New York State Board of Elections, New Mexico Secretary of State, South Carolina Election Commission (public records of the state election offices), retrieved Oct 28, 2026.

Make your pick in the map maker

DataState data (JSON)Sources: Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder, Candidates in American General Elections, version 3.1 (2006-2023 governor rows), VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), DIME (ODC-BY), Photo creditsData as of Oct 28, 2026