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VA-1

Virginia District 1

Tue, Nov 3 · Seat held by Robert J. Wittman Republican since Dec 2007

Shannon L. TaylorDemocratic

Shannon L. Taylor 48.5Robert J. Wittman 46.0

Average of 2 polls, Sep 23 to Oct 22, from VoteHub · how it’s calculated

Newest poll

1 is a partisan pollNewest · Public Policy Polling, field dates Oct 21 to Oct 22, released Oct 23, 570 likely voters, partisan (D), per VoteHubPoll sponsored by House Majority PACPolls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub

Robert J. WittmanRepublican · IncumbentAge 67 · 18 years in Congress

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Virginia District 1: Shannon L. Taylor vs Robert J. Wittman

Preview card: Virginia District 1: Shannon L. Taylor vs Robert J. Wittman

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Last election
Robert J. Wittman (Republican) won by 12.8 points, 2024
Margin since 2022
0.2 points toward Democrats
On the 2026 ballot
2 candidates

All Virginia districts

Polls over time

3 polls, through Election Day Nov 3
40%50%60%Sep 2026OctNovNov 3The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government, Sep 23 to Sep 28: Taylor 50Public Policy Polling, Oct 21 to Oct 22: Taylor 47The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government, Sep 23 to Sep 28: Wittman 46Public Policy Polling, Oct 21 to Oct 22: Wittman 46Taylor48.5Wittman46.0

The thick line is the 7-week average, not a forecast. How it’s calculated. All polls. Polls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub.

The polls in this chart (3)

1 poll released in the last 14 days · latest results range from 40 to 50% (D) and 41 to 46% (R) (newest 3 polls on the chart)

3 of the 5 polls for this race, each with both names, plotted on the field end date.

Polls shown in the chart, newest field end date first, with the day each was released
PollsterField datesReleasedSampleTaylorWittman
Public Policy PollingOct 21 to Oct 22Oct 23570 likely voters4746
The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and GovernmentSep 23 to Sep 28Oct 1609 likely voters5046
Public Policy PollingAug 8 to Aug 9Apr 27541 registered voters4041
Polls left off the chart (2 of 5)
Polls for this race that are not on the chart, with the reason for each
PollWhy it is not on the chart
Ragnar Research PartnersMar 10 to Mar 12Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Rep, Dem)
Public Policy PollingAug 8 to Aug 9Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Rep, Dem)

Side by side

Left column: TaylorRight column: Wittman

Total receipts, 2025-2026 cycle, through Oct 14
$4.6M
$5.4M
Cash on hand
$599K
$797K
Donor-based spectrum
LiberalCentristConservativeWittmanNo published score for Taylor
Races won and lost
None on file
12-0
Years since first win on file
Not available
19
Age on Election Day
Not available
67

Money: FEC bulk data, through Oct 14. One or more are matched to the FEC by name, party and seat, so a total could belong to someone else.

How these are counted

Total receipts line of each candidate’s principal campaign committee, 2025-2026 cycle. Other sites may show career, six-year or all-committee totals, which differ. Taylor: $4,604,761 received, $598,734 cash on hand. Wittman: $5,432,689 received, $797,346 cash on hand. The spectrum is a published research score, not our rating. How this works. Wins and losses count the races in our results files, the same as each profile.

What changed in this race

Newest first

Polls via VoteHub (CC BY 4.0)

  1. NEW POLLVirginia District 1

    Virginia District 1: Shannon Taylor 47, Rob Wittman 46

    Public Policy Polling, Oct 21 to Oct 22, 570 likely voters

All changes

More about this race

Candidates on the ballot

Source: elections.virginia.gov (XLSX), dated Oct 6

Shift since 2022: 0.2 points toward Democrats (Republican by 13.0 in 2022, Republican by 12.8 in 2024).

All Virginia districts

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2024 US House margin
  • D 15+ pts
  • D 5 to 15 pts
  • D under 5 pts
  • R under 5 pts
  • R 5 to 15 pts
  • R 15+ pts
  • Other winner
  • No data
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Official results for Virginia

History (25 elections for this seat)

1976 to 2024: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, retrieved Oct 28, 2026. Compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns; not an official source

District numbers are reused after each redistricting, so rows on older lines cover different territory than today's Virginia District 1.

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Cite this page

Election Wrld. (2026). Virginia District 1, US House results. https://www.electionwrld.com/va/congress/1. Retrieved October 30, 2026.

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Sources

Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024 (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns, not an official source; Census TIGERweb Legislative MapServer (120th CDs layer 0, 119th CDs layer 4, 2026 SLD upper layer 1 and lower layer 2) (US Census Bureau, public domain), retrieved Oct 28, 2026; unitedstates/congress-legislators (current) (CC0-1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by the @unitedstates project volunteers (rosters from official congressional sources) from official returns, not an official source.

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DataState data (JSON)Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), FEC, DIME (ODC-BY), Portraits: unitedstates/images (public domain), Photo creditsData as of Oct 28, 2026