New York District 21
Tue, Nov 3 · Seat held by Elise M. Stefanik Republican since Jan 2015 (not a candidate in 2026)
Anthony Constantino 44.0Blake Gendebien 45.0
Average of 2 polls, Sep 30 to Oct 13, from VoteHub · how it’s calculated
Newest poll
1 is a partisan pollAlso in the average: Chris Schmidt 5Newest · Public Policy Polling, field dates Oct 12 to Oct 13, released Oct 21, 613 likely voters, partisan (D), per VoteHubPoll sponsored by House Majority PACPolls updated Oct 31, 4:06 a.m. ET, from VoteHub
- Last election
- Elise M. Stefanik (Republican) won by 24.0 points, 2024
- Since 2022
- District lines changed, so no comparison
- On the 2026 ballot
- 2 candidates, open seat
Polls over time
4 polls, through Election Day Nov 3The thick line is the 7-week average, not a forecast. How it’s calculated. All polls. Polls updated Oct 31, 4:06 a.m. ET, from VoteHub.
The polls in this chart (4)
1 poll released in the last 14 days · latest results range from 40 to 46% (D) and 39 to 53% (R) (newest 4 polls on the chart)
4 of the 4 polls for this race, each with both names, plotted on the field end date.
| Pollster | Field dates | Released | Sample | Gendebien | Constantino |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | Oct 12 to Oct 13 | Oct 21 | 613 likely voters | 44 | 46 |
| Siena University | Sep 30 to Oct 6 | Oct 9 | 496 likely voters | 46 | 42 |
| J.L. Partners | Aug 15 to Aug 17 | Aug 20 | 500 likely voters | 40 | 53 |
| SurveyUSA | Aug 4 to Aug 8 | Aug 14 | 800 adults | 43 | 39 |
Side by side
Left column: ConstantinoRight column: Gendebien
- Total receipts, 2025-2026 cycle, through Oct 14
- $14.5M
- $7.7M
- Cash on hand
- $2.3M
- $364K
- Donor-based spectrum
- LiberalCentristConservativeGendebienNo published score for Constantino
Money: FEC bulk data, through Oct 14. One or more are matched to the FEC by name, party and seat, so a total could belong to someone else.
How these are counted
Total receipts line of each candidate’s principal campaign committee, 2025-2026 cycle. Other sites may show career, six-year or all-committee totals, which differ. Constantino: $14,464,951 received, $2,298,984 cash on hand. Gendebien: $7,655,529 received, $364,012 cash on hand. The spectrum is a published research score, not our rating. How this works.
More about this race
Candidates on the ballot
Open seat
The current holder, Elise M. Stefanik, is not on the candidate list.
- Blake GendebienDemocratic
- Anthony ConstantinoRepublican(Republican, Taxpayer Rights)
Source: elections.ny.gov, dated Oct 7
Shift since 2022: lines changed, no comparison.
All New York districts
- D 15+ pts
- D 5 to 15 pts
- D under 5 pts
- R under 5 pts
- R 5 to 15 pts
- R 15+ pts
- Other winner
- No data
Show these districts as a list (26)
- New York District 1· Nick LaLota (R), Republican by 10.4 points, 2024
- New York District 2· Andrew R. Garbarino (R), Republican by 19.5 points, 2024
- New York District 3· Thomas R. Suozzi (D), Democratic by 3.6 points, 2024
- New York District 4· Laura Gillen (D), Democratic by 2.3 points, 2024
- New York District 5· Gregory W. Meeks (D), Democratic by 45.7 points, 2024
- New York District 6· Grace Meng (D), Democratic by 23.0 points, 2024
- New York District 7· Nydia M. Velázquez (D), Democratic by 56.1 points, 2024
- New York District 8· Hakeem S. Jeffries (D), Democratic by 50.6 points, 2024
- New York District 9· Yvette D. Clarke (D), Democratic by 48.0 points, 2024
- New York District 10· Daniel S. Goldman (D), Democratic by 66.2 points, 2024
- New York District 11· Nicole Malliotakis (R), Republican by 28.0 points, 2024
- New York District 12· Jerrold Nadler (D), Democratic by 60.9 points, 2024
- New York District 13· Adriano Espaillat (D), Democratic by 66.6 points, 2024
- New York District 14· Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D), Democratic by 38.2 points, 2024
- New York District 15· Ritchie Torres (D), Democratic by 55.2 points, 2024
- New York District 16· George Latimer (D), Democratic by 43.0 points, 2024
- New York District 17· Michael Lawler (R), Republican by 6.3 points, 2024
- New York District 18· Patrick Ryan (D), Democratic by 14.3 points, 2024
- New York District 19· Josh Riley (D), Democratic by 2.3 points, 2024
- New York District 20· Paul Tonko (D), Democratic by 22.3 points, 2024
- New York District 21· Elise M. Stefanik (R), Republican by 24.0 points, 2024
- New York District 22· John W. Mannion (D), Democratic by 9.1 points, 2024
- New York District 23· Nicholas A. Langworthy (R), Republican by 31.6 points, 2024
- New York District 24· Claudia Tenney (R), Republican by 31.3 points, 2024
- New York District 25· Joseph D. Morelle (D), Democratic by 21.6 points, 2024
- New York District 26· Timothy M. Kennedy (D), Democratic by 30.3 points, 2024
Map settings
Vote in New York
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History (25 elections for this seat)
- Votes for listed candidates
- 348,640
- Election day
- November 5, 2024
- District map
- Same as today
US House, New York District 21, 2024, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanElise M. StefanikWon Republican 215,99662.0% DemocraticPaula Collins Democratic 132,44738.0% Scattered write-insName as filed: Scattering Write-in 1970.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 285,095
- Election day
- November 8, 2022
- District map
- Same as today
US House, New York District 21, 2022, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanElise M. StefanikWon Republican 168,57959.1% DemocraticMatt Castelli Democratic 116,42140.8% Scattered write-insName as filed: Scattering Write-in 950.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 320,788
- Election day
- November 3, 2020
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, New York District 21, 2020, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanElise M. StefanikWon Republican 188,65558.8% DemocraticTedra L Cobb Democratic 131,99541.1% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 1380.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 235,267
- Election day
- November 6, 2018
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, New York District 21, 2018, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanElise M. StefanikWon Republican 131,98156.1% DemocraticTedra L Cobb Democratic 99,79142.4% GreenLynn Kahn Green 3,4371.5% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 580.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 272,606
- Election day
- November 8, 2016
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, New York District 21, 2016, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanElise M. StefanikWon Republican 177,88665.3% DemocraticMike Derrick Democratic 82,16130.1% GreenMatthew J Funiciello Green 12,4524.6% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 1070.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 174,527
- Election day
- November 4, 2014
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, New York District 21, 2014, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanElise M. StefanikWon Republican 96,22655.1% DemocraticAaron G Woolf Democratic 59,06333.8% GreenMatthew J Funiciello Green 19,23811.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 252,451
- Election day
- November 6, 2012
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, New York District 21, 2012, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticWilliam L OwensWon Democratic 126,63150.2% RepublicanMatthew A Doheny Republican 121,64648.2% GreenDonald L Hassig Green 4,1741.7% - Votes for listed candidates
- 220,641
- Election day
- November 2, 2010
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, New York District 21, 2010, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticPaul TonkoWon Democratic 124,88956.6% RepublicanTheodore J Danz Jr Republican 95,75243.4% - Votes for listed candidates
- 275,850
- Election day
- November 4, 2008
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, New York District 21, 2008, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticPaul D TonkoWon Democratic 171,28662.1% RepublicanJames Buhrmaster Republican 96,59935.0% OtherPhillip G Steck Other 7,9652.9% - Votes for listed candidates
- 214,356
- Election day
- November 7, 2006
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, New York District 21, 2006, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticMichael R McNultyWon Democratic 167,60478.2% RepublicanWarren Redlich Republican 46,75221.8% - Votes for listed candidates
- 274,154
- Election day
- November 2, 2004
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, New York District 21, 2004, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticMichael R McNultyWon Democratic 194,03370.8% RepublicanWarren Redlich Republican 80,12129.2% - Votes for listed candidates
- 214,854
- Election day
- November 5, 2002
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, New York District 21, 2002, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticMichael R McNultyWon Democratic 161,32975.1% RepublicanCharles B Rosenstein Republican 53,52524.9% - Votes for listed candidates
- 235,672
- Election day
- November 7, 2000
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, New York District 21, 2000, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticMichael R McNultyWon Democratic 175,33974.4% RepublicanThomas G Pillsworth Republican 60,33325.6% - Votes for listed candidates
- 197,570
- Election day
- November 3, 1998
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, New York District 21, 1998, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticMichael R McNultyWon Democratic 146,63974.2% RepublicanLauren Ayers Republican 50,93125.8% - Votes for listed candidates
- 239,756
- Election day
- November 5, 1996
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, New York District 21, 1996, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticMichael R McNultyWon Democratic 158,49166.1% RepublicanNancy Norman Republican 64,47126.9% OtherLee H Wasserman Other 16,7947.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 242,005
- Election day
- November 8, 1994
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, New York District 21, 1994, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticMichael R McNultyWon Democratic 147,80461.1% RepublicanJoseph A Gomez Republican 68,74528.4% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 21,3318.8% OtherTimothy J Wood Other 4,1251.7% - Votes for listed candidates
- 265,278
- Election day
- November 3, 1992
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, New York District 21, 1992, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticMichael R McNultyWon Democratic 166,37162.7% RepublicanNancy Norman Republican 91,18434.4% OtherWilliam J Donnelly Other 7,7232.9% - Votes for listed candidates
- 153,706
- Election day
- November 6, 1990
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, New York District 21, 1990, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanHamilton Fish JrWon Republican 99,86665.0% DemocraticRichard L Barbuto Democratic 34,12822.2% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 13,7879.0% OtherRichard S Curtin Other 5,9253.9% - Votes for listed candidates
- 201,607
- Election day
- November 8, 1988
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, New York District 21, 1988, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanHamilton Fish JrWon Republican 150,44374.6% DemocraticLawrence W Grunberger Democratic 47,29423.5% OtherRichard S Curtin II Other 3,8701.9% - Votes for listed candidates
- 133,397
- Election day
- November 4, 1986
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, New York District 21, 1986, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanHamilton Fish JrWon Republican 102,07076.5% DemocraticLawrence W Grunberger Democratic 28,33921.2% OtherKaren A Gormley-Vitale Other 2,9882.2% - Votes for listed candidates
- 204,327
- Election day
- November 6, 1984
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, New York District 21, 1984, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanHamilton Fish JrWon Republican 160,05378.3% DemocraticLawrence W Grunberger Democratic 44,27421.7% - Votes for listed candidates
- 156,124
- Election day
- November 2, 1982
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, New York District 21, 1982, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanHamilton Fish JrWon Republican 117,46075.2% DemocraticJ Morgan Strong Democratic 38,66424.8% - Votes for listed candidates
- 32,758
- Election day
- November 4, 1980
- District map
- Older district map (1972 to 1980)
US House, New York District 21, 1980, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticRobert GarciaWon Democratic 32,17398.2% OtherLoidis R Cordero Other 3131.0% OtherGina A Aceto Other 2720.8% - Votes for listed candidates
- 24,449
- Election day
- November 7, 1978
- District map
- Older district map (1972 to 1980)
US House, New York District 21, 1978, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticRobert GarciaWon Democratic 23,95098.0% OtherLawrence W Lindsley Sr Other 4992.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 41,883
- Election day
- November 2, 1976
- District map
- Older district map (1972 to 1980)
US House, New York District 21, 1976, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticHerman BadilloWon Democratic 41,28598.6% OtherLawrence W Lindsley Sr Other 5981.4%
1976 to 2024: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, retrieved Oct 28, 2026. Compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns; not an official source
District numbers are reused after each redistricting, so rows on older lines cover different territory than today's New York District 21.
Download and cite
Cite this page
Election Wrld. (2026). New York District 21, US House results. https://www.electionwrld.com/ny/congress/21. Retrieved October 31, 2026.
Embed this seat
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<p style="font-size:13px">Data: <a href="https://www.electionwrld.com">Election Wrld</a>, CC BY 4.0</p>Sources
Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024 (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns, not an official source; Census TIGERweb Legislative MapServer (120th CDs layer 0, 119th CDs layer 4, 2026 SLD upper layer 1 and lower layer 2) (US Census Bureau, public domain), retrieved Oct 28, 2026; unitedstates/congress-legislators (current) (CC0-1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by the @unitedstates project volunteers (rosters from official congressional sources) from official returns, not an official source.
DataState data (JSON)Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), FEC, DIME (ODC-BY)Data as of Oct 30, 2026 (candidate list Oct 28, 2026)