PA-16
Pennsylvania District 16
Tue, Nov 3 · Seat held by Mike Kelly Republican since Jan 2011
George Joseph Kelly Jr.Republican · IncumbentAge 78Justin Reed WagnerDemocratic
No published poll names both candidates.Last result · 2024 general: Mike Kelly (R) 63.7, Preston Nouri (D) 36.3
- Last election
- Mike Kelly (Republican) won by 27.4 points, 2024
- Margin since 2022
- 8.6 points toward Republicans
- On the 2026 ballot
- 2 candidates
Side by side
Left column: KellyRight column: Wagner
- Total receipts, 2025-2026 cycle, through Oct 14
- $1.4M
- $247K
- Cash on hand
- $1.0M
- $63K
- Donor-based spectrum
- LiberalCentristConservativeKellyNo published score for Wagner
- Age on Election Day
- 78
- Not available
Money: FEC bulk data, through Oct 14. One or more are matched to the FEC by name, party and seat, so a total could belong to someone else.
How these are counted
Total receipts line of each candidate’s principal campaign committee, 2025-2026 cycle. Other sites may show career, six-year or all-committee totals, which differ. Kelly: $1,414,935 received, $1,039,192 cash on hand. Wagner: $247,119 received, $62,854 cash on hand. The spectrum is a published research score, not our rating. How this works.
More about this race
Candidates on the ballot
- Justin Reed WagnerDemocratic
- George Joseph Kelly Jr.IncumbentRepublican
Source: pavoterservices.pa.gov, dated Oct 28
Shift since 2022: 8.6 points toward Republicans (Republican by 18.8 in 2022, Republican by 27.4 in 2024).
All Pennsylvania districts
Select a shape for details. Arrow keys move between shapes.
2024 US House margin
- D 15+ pts
- D 5 to 15 pts
- D under 5 pts
- R under 5 pts
- R 5 to 15 pts
- R 15+ pts
- Other winner
- No data
Show these districts as a list (17)
- Pennsylvania District 1· Brian K. Fitzpatrick (R), Republican by 12.8 points, 2024
- Pennsylvania District 2· Brendan F. Boyle (D), Democratic by 43.0 points, 2024
- Pennsylvania District 3· Dwight Evans (D), unopposed, 2024
- Pennsylvania District 4· Madeleine Dean (D), Democratic by 18.2 points, 2024
- Pennsylvania District 5· Mary Gay Scanlon (D), Democratic by 30.6 points, 2024
- Pennsylvania District 6· Chrissy Houlahan (D), Democratic by 12.4 points, 2024
- Pennsylvania District 7· Ryan Mackenzie (R), Republican by 1.0 point, 2024
- Pennsylvania District 8· Robert P. Bresnahan, Jr. (R), Republican by 1.6 points, 2024
- Pennsylvania District 9· Daniel Meuser (R), Republican by 41.0 points, 2024
- Pennsylvania District 10· Scott Perry (R), Republican by 1.2 points, 2024
- Pennsylvania District 11· Lloyd Smucker (R), Republican by 25.8 points, 2024
- Pennsylvania District 12· Summer L. Lee (D), Democratic by 12.8 points, 2024
- Pennsylvania District 13· John Joyce (R), Republican by 48.4 points, 2024
- Pennsylvania District 14· Guy Reschenthaler (R), Republican by 33.2 points, 2024
- Pennsylvania District 15· Glenn Thompson (R), Republican by 43.0 points, 2024
- Pennsylvania District 16· Mike Kelly (R), Republican by 27.4 points, 2024
- Pennsylvania District 17· Christopher R. Deluzio (D), Democratic by 7.8 points, 2024
Map settings
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Official results for Pennsylvania
History (25 elections for this seat)
- Votes for listed candidates
- 403,632
- Election day
- November 5, 2024
- District map
- Same as today
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 2024, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanMike KellyWon Republican 256,92363.7% DemocraticPreston Nouri Democratic 146,70936.3% - Votes for listed candidates
- 320,989
- Election day
- November 8, 2022
- District map
- Same as today
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 2022, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanMike KellyWon Republican 190,54659.4% DemocraticDan Pastore Democratic 130,44340.6% - Votes for listed candidates
- 354,050
- Election day
- November 3, 2020
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 2020, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanGeorge J Kelly JrWon Republican 210,08859.3% DemocraticKristy Marie Gnibus Democratic 143,96240.7% - Votes for listed candidates
- 262,396
- Election day
- November 6, 2018
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 2018, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanGeorge J Kelly JrWon Republican 135,34851.6% DemocraticRonald A Dinicola Democratic 124,10947.3% LibertarianEbert G Bill Beeman Libertarian 2,9391.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 313,773
- Election day
- November 8, 2016
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 2016, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanLloyd K SmuckerWon Republican 168,66953.8% DemocraticChristina Hartman Democratic 134,58642.9% LibertarianShawn Patrick House Libertarian 10,5183.4% - Votes for listed candidates
- 176,235
- Election day
- November 4, 2014
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 2014, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJoseph R PittsWon Republican 101,72257.7% DemocraticTom Houghton Democratic 74,51342.3% - Votes for listed candidates
- 284,781
- Election day
- November 6, 2012
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 2012, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJoseph R PittsWon Republican 156,19254.8% DemocraticAryanna C Strader Democratic 111,18539.0% IndependentJohn A Murphy Independent 12,2504.3% OtherJames F Bednarski Other 5,1541.8% - Votes for listed candidates
- 205,107
- Election day
- November 2, 2010
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 2010, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJoseph R PittsWon Republican 134,11365.4% DemocraticLois Herr Democratic 70,99434.6% - Votes for listed candidates
- 305,167
- Election day
- November 4, 2008
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 2008, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJoseph R PittsWon Republican 170,32955.8% DemocraticBruce A Slater Democratic 120,19339.4% IndependentJohn A Murphy Independent 11,7683.9% OtherDaniel Frank Other 2,8770.9% - Votes for listed candidates
- 204,669
- Election day
- November 7, 2006
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 2006, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJoseph R PittsWon Republican 115,74156.6% DemocraticLois K Herr Democratic 80,91539.5% IndependentJohn A Murphy Independent 7,9583.9% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 550.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 285,299
- Election day
- November 2, 2004
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 2004, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJoseph R PittsWon Republican 183,62064.4% DemocraticLois K Herr Democratic 98,41034.5% GreenWilliam R Hagen Green 3,2691.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 134,597
- Election day
- November 5, 2002
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 2002, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJoseph R PittsWon Republican 119,04688.4% GreenWill Todd Green 8,7206.5% OtherKenneth Brenneman Other 6,7665.0% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 650.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 242,580
- Election day
- November 7, 2000
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 2000, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJoseph R PittsWon Republican 162,40366.9% DemocraticBob Yorczyk Democratic 80,17733.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 136,085
- Election day
- November 3, 1998
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 1998, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJoseph R PittsWon Republican 95,97970.5% DemocraticRobert S Yorczyk Democratic 40,09229.5% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 140.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 209,602
- Election day
- November 5, 1996
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 1996, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJoseph R PittsWon Republican 124,51159.4% DemocraticJames G Blaine Democratic 78,59837.5% OtherRobert S Yorczyk Other 6,4853.1% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 80.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 157,455
- Election day
- November 8, 1994
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 1994, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanRobert S WalkerWon Republican 109,75969.7% DemocraticBill Chertok Democratic 47,68030.3% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 160.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 212,564
- Election day
- November 3, 1992
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 1992, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanRobert S WalkerWon Republican 137,82364.8% DemocraticRobert Peters Democratic 74,74135.2% - Votes for listed candidates
- 129,445
- Election day
- November 6, 1990
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 1990, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanRobert S WalkerWon Republican 85,59666.1% DemocraticErnest Eric Guyll Democratic 43,84933.9% - Votes for listed candidates
- 185,113
- Election day
- November 8, 1988
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 1988, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanRobert S WalkerWon Republican 136,94474.0% DemocraticErnest Eric Guyll Democratic 48,16926.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 135,183
- Election day
- November 4, 1986
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 1986, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanRobert S WalkerWon Republican 100,78474.6% DemocraticJames D Hagelgans Democratic 34,39925.4% - Votes for listed candidates
- 177,992
- Election day
- November 6, 1984
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 1984, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanRobert S WalkerWon Republican 138,47777.8% DemocraticMartin L Bard Democratic 39,51522.2% - Votes for listed candidates
- 130,398
- Election day
- November 2, 1982
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 1982, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanRobert S WalkerWon Republican 93,03471.3% DemocraticJean D Mowery Democratic 37,36428.7% - Votes for listed candidates
- 168,656
- Election day
- November 4, 1980
- District map
- Older district map (1972 to 1980)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 1980, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanRobert S WalkerWon Republican 129,76576.9% DemocraticJames A Woodcock Democratic 38,89123.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 119,296
- Election day
- November 7, 1978
- District map
- Older district map (1972 to 1980)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 1978, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanRobert S WalkerWon Republican 91,91077.0% DemocraticCharles W Boohar Democratic 27,38623.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 156,455
- Election day
- November 2, 1976
- District map
- Older district map (1972 to 1980)
US House, Pennsylvania District 16, 1976, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanRobert S WalkerWon Republican 97,52762.3% DemocraticMichael J Minney Democratic 57,83637.0% OtherRichard A Haas Other 7430.5% OtherMartin P Ross Other 3490.2%
1976 to 2024: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, retrieved Oct 28, 2026. Compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns; not an official source
District numbers are reused after each redistricting, so rows on older lines cover different territory than today's Pennsylvania District 16.
Download and cite
Cite this page
Election Wrld. (2026). Pennsylvania District 16, US House results. https://www.electionwrld.com/pa/congress/16. Retrieved October 30, 2026.
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Sources
Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024 (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns, not an official source; Census TIGERweb Legislative MapServer (120th CDs layer 0, 119th CDs layer 4, 2026 SLD upper layer 1 and lower layer 2) (US Census Bureau, public domain), retrieved Oct 28, 2026; unitedstates/congress-legislators (current) (CC0-1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by the @unitedstates project volunteers (rosters from official congressional sources) from official returns, not an official source.
DataState data (JSON)Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, FEC, DIME (ODC-BY)Data as of Oct 28, 2026