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Pennsylvania District 8

Tue, Nov 3 · Seat held by Robert P. Bresnahan, Jr. Republican since Jan 2025

Robert P. Bresnahan, Jr.Republican · IncumbentAge 36 · 1 year in Congress

Robert P. Bresnahan, Jr. 48Paige Cognetti 52

Only 1 poll in the last 7 weeksNewest poll · Emerson College, field dates Oct 12 to Oct 14, released Oct 22, 396 likely votersPoll sponsored by Poll VaultPolls updated Oct 30, 7:30 p.m. ET, from VoteHub

Paige CognettiDemocratic

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Pennsylvania District 8: Paige Cognetti vs Robert P. Bresnahan, Jr.

Preview card: Pennsylvania District 8: Paige Cognetti vs Robert P. Bresnahan, Jr.

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Last election
Robert P. Bresnahan, Jr. (Republican) won by 1.6 points, 2024
Margin since 2022
4.0 points toward Republicans
On the 2026 ballot
2 candidates

All Pennsylvania districts

Polls over time

2 polls, through Election Day Nov 3
40%50%60%Jul 2026AugSepOctNovNov 3Lake Research Partners, Jun 18 to Jun 23: Cognetti 47Emerson College, Oct 12 to Oct 14: Cognetti 52Lake Research Partners, Jun 18 to Jun 23: Bresnahan 45Emerson College, Oct 12 to Oct 14: Bresnahan 48Cognetti52Bresnahan48

All polls. Polls updated Oct 30, 7:30 p.m. ET, from VoteHub.

The polls in this chart (2)

1 poll released in the last 14 days · latest results range from 47 to 52% (D) and 45 to 48% (R) (newest 2 polls on the chart)

2 of the 2 polls for this race, each with both names, plotted on the field end date.

Polls shown in the chart, newest field end date first, with the day each was released
PollsterField datesReleasedSampleCognettiBresnahan
Emerson CollegeOct 12 to Oct 14Oct 22396 likely voters5248
Lake Research PartnersJun 18 to Jun 23Jun 26400 likely voters4745

Side by side

Left column: BresnahanRight column: Cognetti

Total receipts, 2025-2026 cycle, through Oct 14
$6.5M
$7.5M
Cash on hand
$733K
$244K
Donor-based spectrum
LiberalCentristConservativeBresnahanNo published score for Cognetti
Races
Won 1 of 1
None listed
Years since first win
1
Not available
Age on Election Day
36
Not available

Money: FEC bulk data, through Oct 14. One or more are matched to the FEC by name, party and seat, so a total could belong to someone else.

How these are counted

Total receipts line of each candidate’s principal campaign committee, 2025-2026 cycle. Other sites may show career, six-year or all-committee totals, which differ. Bresnahan: $6,519,139 received, $732,724 cash on hand. Cognetti: $7,502,359 received, $243,672 cash on hand. The spectrum is a published research score, not our rating. How this works. Wins and losses count the races in our results files, the same as each profile.

What changed in this race

Newest first

Polls via VoteHub (CC BY 4.0)

  1. NEW POLLPennsylvania District 8

    Pennsylvania District 8: Paige Cognetti 52, Rob Bresnahan 48

    Emerson College, Oct 12 to Oct 14, 396 likely voters

All changes

More about this race

Candidates on the ballot

Source: pavoterservices.pa.gov, dated Oct 28

Shift since 2022: 4.0 points toward Republicans (Democratic by 2.4 in 2022, Republican by 1.6 in 2024). Changed party, D to R.

All Pennsylvania districts

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2024 US House margin
  • D 15+ pts
  • D 5 to 15 pts
  • D under 5 pts
  • R under 5 pts
  • R 5 to 15 pts
  • R 15+ pts
  • Other winner
  • No data
Show these districts as a list (17)
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Official results for Pennsylvania

History (25 elections for this seat)

1976 to 2024: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, retrieved Oct 28, 2026. Compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns; not an official source

District numbers are reused after each redistricting, so rows on older lines cover different territory than today's Pennsylvania District 8.

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Cite this page

Election Wrld. (2026). Pennsylvania District 8, US House results. https://www.electionwrld.com/pa/congress/8. Retrieved October 30, 2026.

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Sources

Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024 (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns, not an official source; Census TIGERweb Legislative MapServer (120th CDs layer 0, 119th CDs layer 4, 2026 SLD upper layer 1 and lower layer 2) (US Census Bureau, public domain), retrieved Oct 28, 2026; unitedstates/congress-legislators (current) (CC0-1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by the @unitedstates project volunteers (rosters from official congressional sources) from official returns, not an official source.

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DataState data (JSON)Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), FEC, DIME (ODC-BY), Portraits: unitedstates/images (public domain), Photo creditsData as of Oct 30, 2026 (candidate list Oct 28, 2026)